Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Butler

66.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -197

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 82

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreProvidence 86

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricProvidence

52.7MMH Power Index54.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.1Defensive Efficiency113.2

2.6Net Efficiency1.8

3.1Strength of Schedule4.0

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

71.1Tempo74.2

51.2%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

1.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (109.1–113.2), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), ball security (15.9–16.7), offensive rebounding (34.4–31.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.1).

Final

Butler

87—97

Providence

Providence by 10 • 78.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATProvidence

29-65FG31-66

45.0%FG%47.0%

6-213PT9-28

29.0%3PT%32.0%

23-34FT26-39

68.0%FT%67.0%

36Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists11

10Turnovers10

7Steals6

3Blocks1

28Fouls22

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Finley Bizjack	G	49	7-17	2-9	14-16	3	5	1	0	30
Michael Ajayi	F	46	8-14	0-1	4-9	12	1	3	2	20
Yohan Traore	F	24	4-8	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	1	9
Evan Haywood	G	25	3-11	2-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	24	3-5	1-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	7
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	42	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Drayton Jones	C	26	0-2	0-0	4-8	10	0	0	0	4
Yame Butler	G	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jackson Keith	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ethan McComb	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	42	11-20	6-12	8-10	6	2	3	0	36
Stefan Vaaks	G	37	4-15	2-11	10-12	2	3	1	0	20
Ryan Mela	G	44	6-10	0-1	2-2	10	2	0	0	14
Jamier Jones	F	30	3-8	0-1	4-8	7	1	0	1	10
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	34	3-7	0-0	0-3	10	1	1	0	6
Cole Hargrove	F	26	2-2	0-0	1-3	2	1	0	0	5
Nilavan Daniels	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Duncan Powell	F	15	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

78.9Possessions78.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

-12.7Net Efficiency12.7

49.2%Effective FG%53.8%

53.6%True Shooting %57.4%

12.6%Turnover Rate12.7%

52.3%Free Throw Rate59.1%

32.3%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Providence won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 78.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.