Green Bay

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Green Bay

70.2%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -236

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGreen Bay 76

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 83

Team Comparison

Green BayMetricNorthern Kentucky

50.8MMH Power Index53.9

114.0Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.0Defensive Efficiency107.1

0.0Net Efficiency7.8

0.7Strength of Schedule-2.9

5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

65.7Tempo72.3

55.4%Effective FG%54.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.4%Free Throw Rate37.1%

0.0Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–50.8), offensive efficiency (114.9–114.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–114.0), net efficiency (7.8–0.0).

Green Bay COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-2.9), recent form (5.1–4.6), shooting efficiency (55.4–54.5).

Final

Green Bay

87—84

Northern Kentucky

Green Bay by 3 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Green BayTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

31-62FG29-65

50.0%FG%45.0%

9-233PT12-36

39.0%3PT%33.0%

16-22FT14-22

73.0%FT%64.0%

41Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists16

17Turnovers8

5Steals12

1Blocks7

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Green Bay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
C.J. O'Hara	G	38	9-13	0-0	5-6	6	1	3	0	23
Marcus Hall	F	42	5-9	3-5	2-4	7	5	0	0	15
Caden Wilkins	F	22	4-5	3-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Justin Allen	G	36	3-9	1-4	2-2	10	0	0	0	9
Vukasin Todorovic	F	14	2-6	0-1	5-7	2	1	1	1	9
Preston Ruedinger	G	37	3-11	2-9	0-0	3	3	1	0	8
Ramel Bethea	F	16	2-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	0	6
LeBron Thomas	G	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Keegan Van Kauwenberg	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	41	11-22	4-11	2-5	8	5	5	1	28
Tae Dozier	G	41	7-13	4-8	2-4	5	3	3	4	20
LJ Wells	F	34	3-6	0-1	7-10	3	1	1	2	13
Ethan Elliott	G	34	3-8	3-7	2-2	1	0	0	0	11
Shawn Nelson	G	37	2-5	0-2	1-1	6	1	0	0	5
Dan Gherezgher	G	24	1-9	1-7	0-0	3	6	2	0	3
Addison Archer	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Ryan Tolliver	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bryce Darbyshire	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

115.2Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency115.2

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

57.3%Effective FG%53.8%

60.0%True Shooting %55.7%

22.2%Turnover Rate10.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

37.1%3-Point Rate55.4%

0.71Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Green Bay won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.