Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Western Carolina

45.2%UNC Greensboro

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -121

UNC Greensboro

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 81

Projected Total161.3

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 80

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricUNC Greensboro

53MMH Power Index46.7

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency115.3

1.6Net Efficiency-2.7

-0.9Strength of Schedule-1.9

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.7Tempo69.8

51.1%Effective FG%52.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

30.8%Free Throw Rate41.7%

1.1Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–46.7), defensive efficiency (111.0–115.3), net efficiency (1.6–-2.7), strength of schedule (-0.9–-1.9).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.8–51.1), ball security (14.6–16.4), free throw rate (41.7–30.8).

Final

Western Carolina

78—81

UNC Greensboro

UNC Greensboro by 3 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATUNC Greensboro

27-60FG24-55

45.0%FG%44.0%

10-273PT9-20

37.0%3PT%45.0%

14-21FT24-27

67.0%FT%89.0%

33Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists12

10Turnovers12

6Steals7

6Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Kell	F	32	10-20	3-10	4-7	7	0	1	0	27
Tahlan Pettway	G	30	5-6	2-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	14
Justin Johnson	G	18	3-7	0-2	3-4	3	1	1	1	9
CJ Hyland	G	13	3-5	2-2	1-1	1	0	1	0	9
Cord Stansberry	G	30	1-10	1-7	3-4	2	2	0	0	6
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	16	2-5	1-2	0-0	4	4	2	0	5
Julien Soumaoro	G	14	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Samuel Dada	F	26	1-4	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	3	2
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Tayeshaun Smith	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Neely	F	34	3-8	0-2	19-21	11	4	1	0	25
Lilian Marville	G	29	5-10	4-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	14
Noah Norgaard	G	27	4-9	2-3	2-2	1	1	2	0	12
Donald Whitehead Jr.	G	24	3-7	2-5	1-2	3	4	0	0	9
Valentino Pinedo	F	32	3-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	6
KJ Younger	G	19	2-8	0-4	2-2	8	1	1	0	6
Chane Bynum	F	4	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Clinton Efinda	F	25	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Domas Kauzonas	F	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

116.6Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency116.6

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

53.3%Effective FG%51.8%

55.7%True Shooting %59.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate18.0%

35.0%Free Throw Rate49.1%

45.0%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UNC Greensboro won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.