Troy logo

Troy

22-12
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
76.6%Troy
23.4%Georgia State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADTroy -6.8
PROJECTED TOTAL150.5
MODEL MONEYLINETroy -327
Georgia State logo

Georgia State

10-22
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreTroy 79
Projected Total150.5
Projected ScoreGeorgia State 72

Team Comparison

54.1MMH Power Index38.9
112.6Offensive Efficiency101.3
103.9Defensive Efficiency107.5
8.7Net Efficiency-6.2
-2.2Strength of Schedule-1.7
2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9
70.4Tempo69.5
52.1%Effective FG%45.3%
17.1%Turnover Rate15.6%
35.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%
36.8%Free Throw Rate37.4%
6.1Average Margin-4.3
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.5), net efficiency (8.7–-6.2).
Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.2), ball security (15.6–17.1), free throw rate (37.4–36.8).
Final
Troy logo
Troy
74—63
Georgia State logo
Georgia State
Troy by 11 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATGeorgia State
29-66FG22-56
44.0%FG%39.0%
8-283PT6-18
29.0%3PT%33.0%
8-12FT13-19
67.0%FT%68.0%
43Rebounds34
16Offensive Rebounds10
20Assists14
8Turnovers9
6Steals3
2Blocks4
15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Troy
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Thomas DowdF387-122-40-0151200016
Cobi CampbellG285-125-100-052200015
Victor ValdesF333-80-36-759200012
Jerrell BellamyC216-80-00-010010012
Cooper CampbellG314-121-61-316000010
Theo SengF214-80-11-28100009
Kerrington KielF150-20-10-04101000
Austin CrossG130-40-30-02000000
Georgia State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Micah TuckerG367-120-24-532000018
Malachi BrownG374-92-63-344000013
Jelani HamiltonG302-141-43-53210008
Jakai NewtonG203-62-40-05020008
Joah ChappelleF163-51-11-20002008
Anthony EnohF321-50-02-49501004
Trey Scott IIIF222-40-00-02101004
Ayouba BertheG70-10-10-01000000

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9
115.8Offensive Efficiency98.6
98.6Defensive Efficiency115.8
17.2Net Efficiency-17.2
50.0%Effective FG%44.6%
51.6%True Shooting %48.4%
12.6%Turnover Rate14.1%
18.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%
42.4%3-Point Rate32.1%
2.50Assist / Turnover1.56
Game Summary
Troy won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.