Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Texas State

61.7%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -161

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 76

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 79

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricGeorgia Southern

49.4MMH Power Index49.1

107.7Offensive Efficiency112.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.6

4.3Net Efficiency1.7

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

68.6Tempo72.0

51.3%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

36.0%Free Throw Rate39.5%

2.9Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.6), net efficiency (4.3–1.7), recent form (9.1–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–107.7), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.3).

Final

Texas State

77—71

Georgia Southern

Texas State by 6 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

27-60FG24-53

45.0%FG%45.0%

3-143PT7-23

21.0%3PT%30.0%

20-22FT16-22

91.0%FT%73.0%

40Rebounds25

13Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists10

13Turnovers10

8Steals7

5Blocks7

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Hall	F	33	5-8	0-0	6-8	10	3	3	0	16
Makai Willis	C	12	7-11	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	29	3-7	0-0	7-7	3	0	2	1	13
Kyndall Davis	G	32	5-11	1-5	0-0	4	3	0	1	11
Franck Emmou	G	32	3-7	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	2	8
Mark Drone	G	25	1-10	0-3	4-4	4	7	0	0	6
Tay Knox	C	23	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	1	6
Robert Fields	C	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jalen Bolden	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaelyn Lee	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khayri Dunn	G	28	8-13	2-4	2-2	3	3	1	0	20
Alden Applewhite	F	26	6-9	2-4	4-6	7	0	0	0	18
Spudd Webb	G	33	6-12	1-4	3-4	2	1	3	3	16
Nakavieon White	F	18	2-7	1-3	5-6	3	0	0	2	10
Tsvet Sotirov	F	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dwayne Williams Jr	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Tyren Moore	G	29	0-6	0-5	1-2	3	3	1	0	1
Shainen Carter	F	23	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	2	1
Andres Burney	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

110.8Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency110.8

8.6Net Efficiency-8.6

47.5%Effective FG%51.9%

54.6%True Shooting %55.9%

18.5%Turnover Rate14.6%

36.7%Free Throw Rate41.5%

23.3%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Texas State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.