New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.9%New Mexico State

60.1%Louisiana Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisiana Tech -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINELouisiana Tech -151

Louisiana Tech

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 68

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 72

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricLouisiana Tech

51.2MMH Power Index50.3

108.9Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.5Defensive Efficiency98.7

4.4Net Efficiency7.4

-0.7Strength of Schedule-5.1

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

68.9Tempo65.9

48.6%Effective FG%49.4%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.5%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

37.0%Free Throw Rate33.5%

3.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisiana Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisiana Tech holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (98.7–104.5), net efficiency (7.4–4.4), recent form (5.4–-2.0), shooting efficiency (49.4–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.2–50.3), offensive efficiency (108.9–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.7–-5.1).

Final

New Mexico State

72—63

Louisiana Tech

New Mexico State by 9 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATLouisiana Tech

27-55FG21-61

49.0%FG%34.0%

8-203PT7-27

40.0%3PT%26.0%

10-15FT14-25

67.0%FT%56.0%

35Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds22

15Assists12

12Turnovers13

9Steals6

3Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	29	10-18	2-5	4-4	5	5	3	0	26
Julius Mims	F	31	6-10	0-0	1-3	12	0	0	2	13
Gabe Pickens	G	26	2-6	0-3	4-4	0	3	1	0	8
Elijah Elliott	G	17	3-7	2-4	0-0	2	2	2	0	8
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	35	3-4	1-1	0-2	4	0	1	0	7
Chris Terrell	G	11	2-5	2-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Jayland Randall	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	30	0-3	0-3	1-2	4	3	2	0	1
Augustine Ekwe	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scooter Williams	G	30	6-13	5-9	5-8	2	2	2	0	22
Will Allen	F	18	4-6	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	10
DJ Dudley	G	38	4-15	0-5	1-2	4	1	1	0	9
Jaylen Fenner	G	31	2-7	1-3	1-3	10	2	1	0	6
Kylan Howze	F	18	2-2	0-0	2-6	6	0	0	0	6
AJ Bates	G	31	1-8	0-5	2-2	4	5	1	1	4
Melian Martinez	C	12	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Avery Thomas II	F	16	0-4	0-3	2-2	4	1	1	1	2
Sir Issac Herron	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

113.4Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

14.2Net Efficiency-14.2

56.4%Effective FG%40.2%

57.9%True Shooting %43.2%

19.0%Turnover Rate20.4%

27.3%Free Throw Rate41.0%

36.4%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.