Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.9%Vermont

19.1%Maine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL135.1

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -424

Maine

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 71

Projected Total135.1

Projected ScoreMaine 64

Team Comparison

VermontMetricMaine

53.1MMH Power Index35.6

112.2Offensive Efficiency95.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency104.6

7.5Net Efficiency-9.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.8

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.8

65.4Tempo65.4

54.1%Effective FG%50.5%

14.4%Turnover Rate19.0%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %19.4%

32.4%Free Throw Rate38.5%

4.9Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (112.2–95.6), net efficiency (7.5–-9.0), recent form (12.4–-6.8).

Maine COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.6–104.7), strength of schedule (-1.8–-4.4), free throw rate (38.5–32.4).

Final

Vermont

70—76

Maine

Maine by 6 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATMaine

23-52FG26-45

44.0%FG%58.0%

10-293PT10-18

34.0%3PT%56.0%

14-21FT14-23

67.0%FT%61.0%

34Rebounds25

13Offensive Rebounds4

18Assists20

14Turnovers11

5Steals6

3Blocks3

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	25	8-12	6-9	5-6	3	1	0	1	27
TJ Long	G	34	4-13	2-9	3-6	4	3	0	0	13
Gus Yalden	F	30	4-6	0-1	4-4	5	5	3	1	12
David Simon	F	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Sean Blake	G	28	1-6	0-1	2-5	5	2	0	0	4
Momo Nkugwa	G	27	2-6	0-3	0-0	5	3	2	0	4
Jackson Skipper	F	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Ben Johnson	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Noah Barnett	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ben Michaels	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Maine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Crawford	G	26	6-7	3-4	6-6	1	4	2	0	21
TJ Biel	F	39	7-12	1-3	2-2	3	6	0	2	17
Mekhi Gray	G	30	6-11	2-3	3-7	4	1	1	0	17
Ryan Mabrey	G	33	3-5	2-3	0-3	3	4	0	0	8
Amare Allen	F	25	2-4	1-2	3-4	5	0	1	1	8
Ace Flagg	F	16	1-1	1-1	0-1	1	2	1	0	3
Logan Carey	G	31	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

111.1Offensive Efficiency120.6

120.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

53.8%Effective FG%68.9%

56.5%True Shooting %67.9%

22.2%Turnover Rate17.5%

40.4%Free Throw Rate51.1%

55.8%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Maine won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.