Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Chicago State

80.7%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -418

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 66

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 78

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricCentral Connecticut

36.1MMH Power Index44.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency111.4

114.9Defensive Efficiency107.0

-15.5Net Efficiency4.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-7.7

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

66.2Tempo66.3

45.6%Effective FG%54.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-10.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–36.1), offensive efficiency (111.4–99.4), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.9), net efficiency (4.4–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-7.7), ball security (15.8–15.9), offensive rebounding (29.1–28.2).

Final

Chicago State

67—78

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 11 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

24-59FG26-47

41.0%FG%55.0%

7-243PT9-25

29.0%3PT%36.0%

12-14FT17-19

86.0%FT%89.0%

20Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists18

3Turnovers15

9Steals3

2Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Ray	F	36	9-20	2-6	2-2	6	3	1	0	22
Marcus Tankersley	G	29	6-13	0-0	3-5	2	3	1	0	15
Chauncey Gibson	G	21	3-8	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	1	8
Braelon Bush	G	22	1-4	1-4	2-2	1	5	3	0	5
Malek Robinson	G	17	0-2	0-2	4-4	1	0	1	0	4
Joseph Owens	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Dailliss Cox	F	26	1-3	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Corey Sands	G	18	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Doyel Cockrill III	G	18	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	3

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	34	8-15	3-7	5-5	8	1	0	0	24
Max Frazier	F	34	6-8	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	2	15
Melo Sanchez	G	23	4-8	3-7	3-3	3	1	1	0	14
Roddy Jones	G	12	4-6	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
Daniel James	F	10	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Jay Rodgers	G	31	0-1	0-1	4-4	3	13	0	0	4
James Jones	G	32	1-2	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	2
Ashton Reynolds	G	8	0-1	0-1	2-3	1	0	0	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Nico Ashley	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency107.4

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

46.6%Effective FG%64.9%

51.0%True Shooting %69.6%

4.8%Turnover Rate24.2%

23.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

40.7%3-Point Rate53.2%

4.67Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.