William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%William & Mary

75.2%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -303

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 74

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 82

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricUNC Wilmington

53.8MMH Power Index59.2

112.5Offensive Efficiency114.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency101.7

7.3Net Efficiency12.4

-1.5Strength of Schedule-1.5

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

73.9Tempo66.9

55.3%Effective FG%51.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

45.3%Free Throw Rate41.7%

5.4Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–53.8), offensive efficiency (114.1–112.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–105.2), net efficiency (12.4–7.3).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.3–51.1), free throw rate (45.3–41.7).

Final

William & Mary

85—78

UNC Wilmington

William & Mary by 7 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

28-59FG29-55

47.0%FG%53.0%

11-233PT11-24

48.0%3PT%46.0%

18-24FT9-16

75.0%FT%56.0%

37Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists17

10Turnovers12

7Steals6

2Blocks2

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Miller	G	26	6-11	2-5	9-12	1	0	1	0	23
Jo'el Emanuel	F	29	5-7	1-2	4-4	4	4	0	0	15
Kyle Pulliam	G	33	3-8	2-3	2-3	2	4	3	0	10
Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi	F	30	4-11	2-6	0-0	5	2	2	1	10
Kilian Brockhoff	F	22	3-7	1-2	2-2	4	2	0	0	9
Ryan Jackson Jr.	G	27	3-4	2-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	8
Cade Haskins	F	16	2-5	1-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Chase Lowe	G	17	2-6	0-0	0-2	9	0	0	0	4

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Hodge	G	35	7-16	5-10	3-4	4	2	1	2	22
Patrick Wessler	F	35	7-9	0-0	2-5	8	2	1	0	16
Greedy Williams	G	32	4-5	1-1	1-2	2	4	2	0	10
Noah Ross	G	30	4-9	0-2	2-3	6	5	1	0	10
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	14	3-4	3-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Christian May	G	32	3-9	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	7
Madison Durr	G	18	1-3	1-3	1-2	1	2	0	0	4
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

125.9Offensive Efficiency115.6

115.6Defensive Efficiency125.9

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

56.8%Effective FG%62.7%

60.4%True Shooting %62.3%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.8%

40.7%Free Throw Rate29.1%

39.0%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.