Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Florida Gulf Coast

53.0%Eastern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Kentucky -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Kentucky -113

Eastern Kentucky

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 80

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreEastern Kentucky 82

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricEastern Kentucky

48.6MMH Power Index45.1

110.5Offensive Efficiency113.3

109.2Defensive Efficiency115.5

1.3Net Efficiency-2.2

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.1

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.0Tempo70.9

52.1%Effective FG%52.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

29.9%Free Throw Rate31.7%

0.9Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Gulf Coast holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.6–45.1), defensive efficiency (109.2–115.5), net efficiency (1.3–-2.2), recent form (0.7–-6.7).

Eastern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.5), strength of schedule (-1.1–-1.8), shooting efficiency (52.9–52.1).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

74—76

Eastern Kentucky

Eastern Kentucky by 2 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATEastern Kentucky

27-59FG23-57

46.0%FG%40.0%

10-293PT10-33

34.0%3PT%30.0%

10-13FT20-25

77.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds12

19Assists16

15Turnovers13

7Steals12

3Blocks3

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Malone	F	25	7-10	0-1	4-5	11	0	1	2	18
Jordan Ellerbee	G	32	5-8	2-3	3-4	3	3	0	0	15
J.R. Konieczny	F	30	5-12	2-5	2-2	2	0	2	1	14
Rahmir Barno	G	33	4-10	3-6	1-2	2	10	0	0	12
Michael Duax	F	18	3-5	1-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Darren Williams	G	14	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Tristen Guillouette	C	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
Rory Stewart	F	20	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jack Reddick	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
George Washington III	G	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	25	5-14	4-12	3-4	1	0	1	0	17
Montavious Myrick	F	30	6-7	0-0	3-6	7	1	1	2	15
Austin Ball	F	22	3-7	2-4	3-3	2	1	1	1	11
Turner Buttry	G	24	1-7	1-5	4-4	1	2	2	0	7
Jayden Harris	F	10	2-4	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
MJ Williams	G	27	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	8	3	0	5
Jackson Holt	G	20	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Tyler Jackson	G	14	0-3	0-3	4-4	1	0	1	0	4
Yvens Paul	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	3
Jalen Cooper	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Asa White	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

105.6Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency105.6

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

54.2%Effective FG%49.1%

56.8%True Shooting %55.2%

21.4%Turnover Rate18.6%

22.0%Free Throw Rate43.9%

49.2%3-Point Rate57.9%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Eastern Kentucky won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.