Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Denver

83.4%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -502

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 75

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 87

Team Comparison

DenverMetricNorth Dakota State

49.1MMH Power Index59

119.2Offensive Efficiency115.4

119.2Defensive Efficiency100.8

0.0Net Efficiency14.6

-2.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

69.5Tempo69.6

55.3%Effective FG%54.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

35.3%Free Throw Rate31.3%

0.0Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–49.1), defensive efficiency (100.8–119.2), net efficiency (14.6–0.0), recent form (14.3–4.0).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–115.4), strength of schedule (-2.6–-4.6), shooting efficiency (55.3–54.5).

Final

Denver

78—71

North Dakota State

Denver by 7 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

28-55FG25-62

51.0%FG%40.0%

6-223PT6-20

27.0%3PT%30.0%

16-19FT15-22

84.0%FT%68.0%

35Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists10

10Turnovers10

7Steals5

3Blocks—

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Johnson	G	38	6-16	3-10	5-6	1	2	2	0	20
Zane Nelson	G	34	6-11	1-5	6-8	8	5	3	0	19
Jeremiah Burke	F	33	6-9	2-3	1-1	3	2	2	0	15
Logan Kinsey	F	26	4-7	0-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	9
Josh Lee	G	8	2-3	0-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
Gabe Oldham	F	32	2-4	0-0	0-0	12	0	0	1	4
Julius Rollins	G	11	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	1	4
Shaun Wysocki	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Didier Maleng	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Markhi Strickland	G	33	9-16	0-0	1-3	6	3	0	19
Noah Feddersen	F	22	3-8	0-2	7-9	6	0	0	13
Tay Smith	G	26	4-7	4-6	0-1	2	0	0	12
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	24	3-10	1-5	2-3	4	0	0	9
Trevian Carson	G	35	2-7	1-1	2-2	4	1	1	7
Andy Stefonowicz	G	35	2-8	0-3	2-2	2	5	2	6
Treyson Anderson	F	18	2-6	0-3	1-2	6	0	0	5
Emil Skytta	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0
Riley Massey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

110.2Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency110.2

9.9Net Efficiency-9.9

56.4%Effective FG%45.2%

60.9%True Shooting %49.0%

14.5%Turnover Rate13.8%

34.5%Free Throw Rate35.5%

40.0%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Denver won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.