UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%UC Santa Barbara

54.4%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -119

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 76

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC Davis

51.4MMH Power Index48.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.1Net Efficiency3.5

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.5Tempo72.4

54.8%Effective FG%52.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate41.5%

4.8Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

75—85

UC Davis

UC Davis by 10 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC Davis

27-55FG26-50

49.0%FG%52.0%

5-163PT10-18

31.0%3PT%56.0%

16-21FT23-26

76.0%FT%88.0%

32Rebounds26

14Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists18

13Turnovers10

5Steals7

1Blocks4

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Shaw	G	37	7-12	0-1	4-5	2	0	2	1	18
Colin Smith	F	37	4-6	0-1	8-9	3	4	0	0	16
Aidan Mahaney	G	40	5-18	3-9	2-2	4	5	1	0	15
Zion Sensley	G	38	6-11	2-5	0-0	9	0	0	0	14
Hosana Kitenge	F	22	3-5	0-0	0-2	9	3	1	0	6
Michael Simcoe	F	8	1-1	0-0	2-3	0	0	1	0	4
Evans Kipruto	C	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Zachiah Clark	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Wilson	G	29	8-14	1-2	7-7	6	6	0	0	24
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	30	3-5	3-5	2-2	0	2	2	0	11
Isaiah Chappell	F	17	3-5	2-3	3-3	2	0	0	0	11
Niko Rocak	F	30	3-7	1-3	3-6	0	1	0	4	10
Connor Sevilla	G	29	4-9	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
Brayden Fagbemi	G	27	1-3	0-0	6-6	2	7	3	0	8
Jalen Stokes	G	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Nils Cooper	G	14	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	2	0	4
Omer Suljanovic	F	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

115.9Offensive Efficiency131.4

131.4Defensive Efficiency115.9

-15.5Net Efficiency15.5

53.6%Effective FG%62.0%

57.7%True Shooting %68.2%

20.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

38.2%Free Throw Rate52.0%

29.1%3-Point Rate36.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.