Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Northern Colorado

53.0%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -113

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 82

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricWeber State

53.7MMH Power Index50.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency113.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency108.2

8.4Net Efficiency5.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule-3.4

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.1Tempo71.5

56.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.0Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–113.6), defensive efficiency (107.6–108.2), net efficiency (8.4–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.3), offensive rebounding (32.6–27.9), free throw rate (38.3–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

88—74

Weber State

Northern Colorado by 14 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATWeber State

35-59FG26-63

59.0%FG%41.0%

11-243PT2-17

46.0%3PT%12.0%

7-10FT20-24

70.0%FT%83.0%

34Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds12

20Assists8

9Turnovers6

3Steals6

7Blocks—

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	35	12-19	3-7	4-5	5	9	0	1	31
Ibu Yamazaki	F	38	9-11	5-6	0-0	5	0	1	0	23
Ring Nyeri	F	33	6-7	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	2	13
Brock Wisne	F	34	4-9	0-0	2-3	9	4	0	2	10
Zach Bloch	G	33	2-8	2-8	0-0	2	4	2	0	6
Vincent Delano	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Egan Shields	C	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Ariik Mawien	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	40	7-18	0-6	10-10	1	3	2	24
Nigel Burris	F	33	6-8	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	16
Viljami Vartiainen	G	33	6-11	2-6	2-2	3	0	0	16
ArDarius Grayson	G	21	2-8	0-1	2-2	1	1	2	6
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	28	2-6	0-0	1-3	12	2	1	5
Malek Gomma	F	27	2-8	0-0	1-3	6	1	0	5
Declan Cutler	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Duce Paschal	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

130.2Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency130.2

20.7Net Efficiency-20.7

68.6%Effective FG%42.9%

69.0%True Shooting %49.7%

13.5%Turnover Rate8.8%

16.9%Free Throw Rate38.1%

40.7%3-Point Rate27.0%

2.22Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.