Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Northern Arizona

81.9%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -452

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 80

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricIdaho State

36.9MMH Power Index45.9

107.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

114.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

-7.7Net Efficiency-2.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.2

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

66.6Tempo67.1

53.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.5%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

33.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-5.1Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–36.9), offensive efficiency (111.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (113.4–114.8), net efficiency (-2.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.5).

Final

Northern Arizona

79—73

Idaho State

Northern Arizona by 6 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATIdaho State

29-49FG27-50

59.0%FG%54.0%

10-203PT7-20

50.0%3PT%35.0%

11-15FT12-16

73.0%FT%75.0%

18Rebounds25

2Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists16

5Turnovers7

3Steals4

1Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Abelman	G	39	6-9	5-6	4-4	7	2	1	0	21
Karl Poom	F	24	6-7	1-1	2-4	3	1	0	0	15
Diego Campisano	F	25	4-5	3-4	1-1	2	1	0	1	12
Traivar Jackson	F	19	4-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Brennan Peterson	G	29	2-7	1-5	2-4	1	7	0	0	7
Chris Komin	G	35	3-7	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Isaiah Shaw	G	12	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	6
Oakland Fort	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Kavon Bradford	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	37	8-14	1-5	6-6	1	3	1	0	23
Caleb Van De Griend	F	19	5-8	0-0	4-4	6	0	0	0	14
Jamison Guerra	PG	31	4-8	2-4	1-2	6	5	0	0	11
Martin Kheil	G	31	3-6	3-6	0-0	5	2	3	0	9
Lachlan Brewer	G	34	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	4
Evan Otten	F	15	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Louis Bond	G	9	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	2	0	0	4
Gus Etchison	PG	9	1-2	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Blake Daberkow	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cheikh Sow	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4

133.0Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency133.0

10.1Net Efficiency-10.1

69.4%Effective FG%61.0%

70.4%True Shooting %63.4%

8.5%Turnover Rate11.7%

30.6%Free Throw Rate32.0%

40.8%3-Point Rate40.0%

3.00Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.