Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%Idaho

63.5%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -174

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 74

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricMontana State

53.2MMH Power Index53.6

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

104.3Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.3Net Efficiency9.5

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.7Tempo68.1

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.1Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–53.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.5–7.3), recent form (4.9–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–104.9), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1).

Final

Idaho

66—73

Montana State

Montana State by 7 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATMontana State

27-64FG22-51

42.0%FG%43.0%

4-193PT3-11

21.0%3PT%27.0%

8-9FT26-30

89.0%FT%87.0%

33Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds4

7Assists7

14Turnovers9

4Steals10

1Blocks7

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kolton Mitchell	G	31	9-18	0-4	3-3	2	2	1	0	21
Biko Johnson	G	29	3-12	1-5	4-5	5	3	0	0	11
Isaiah Brickner	G	27	5-11	0-2	0-0	9	0	0	0	10
Seth Joba	F	20	4-5	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Jackson Rasmussen	F	33	3-11	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	6
Brody Rowbury	F	20	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Jack Payne	G	25	1-4	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	1	3
Trevon Blassingame	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Miles Klapper	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	31	3-11	1-3	8-10	6	2	1	0	15
Patrick McMahon	G	33	3-8	0-2	8-8	6	1	2	1	14
Jeremiah Davis	G	27	2-7	1-3	6-6	2	1	3	0	11
Seth Amunrud	G	23	5-5	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	11
Christian King	F	33	4-8	0-1	1-2	0	0	3	0	9
Chris Hodges	F	24	3-8	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	3	8
Jaden Steppe	F	15	2-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	1	5
Howie Keene	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

90.7Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency90.7

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

45.3%Effective FG%46.1%

48.3%True Shooting %55.9%

18.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

14.1%Free Throw Rate58.8%

29.7%3-Point Rate21.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Montana State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.