Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%Jacksonville State

73.1%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -272

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 72

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 78

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricWestern Kentucky

51.2MMH Power Index55.6

108.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency106.2

6.4Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule1.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

67.2Tempo71.7

51.0%Effective FG%48.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

44.5%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.3Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.2), offensive efficiency (110.6–108.2), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.3), recent form (5.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–106.2), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

Final

Jacksonville State

71—66

Western Kentucky

Jacksonville State by 5 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

17-45FG19-62

38.0%FG%31.0%

1-93PT7-30

11.0%3PT%23.0%

36-50FT21-24

72.0%FT%88.0%

45Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists9

16Turnovers10

4Steals8

3Blocks2

18Fouls31

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Iaroslav Niagu	F	31	5-12	0-0	9-10	12	1	0	1	19
Jacoby Hill	G	35	2-5	0-2	7-8	7	1	2	0	11
Jaye Nash	G	26	1-2	0-0	8-16	7	2	1	0	10
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	22	4-6	0-1	2-3	5	0	0	1	10
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	20	3-9	0-1	4-7	5	2	0	0	10
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	22	1-6	1-3	4-4	1	0	0	0	7
AC Bryant	G	37	1-4	0-2	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Thomas Tut	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jamar Franklin	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	27	5-12	4-7	6-6	3	1	0	0	20
LJ Hackman	G	34	5-11	1-4	6-6	2	2	0	0	17
Armelo Boone	G	26	5-12	0-3	1-1	3	3	0	0	11
Grant Newell	F	23	2-9	1-5	5-7	4	2	0	1	10
Blaise Keita	F	18	1-3	0-0	2-2	7	0	2	0	4
Kade Unseld	G	32	1-11	1-10	0-0	6	1	1	1	3
Jack Edelen	G	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Terrion Murdix	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	4	0	0
Leeroy Odiahi	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cade Stinnett	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

99.2Offensive Efficiency92.2

92.2Defensive Efficiency99.2

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

38.9%Effective FG%36.3%

51.6%True Shooting %45.0%

22.3%Turnover Rate14.0%

111.1%Free Throw Rate38.7%

20.0%3-Point Rate48.4%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.