UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.4%UC Riverside

80.6%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL161.6

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -415

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 76

Projected Total161.6

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 86

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal State Fullerton

41.2MMH Power Index49.4

103.1Offensive Efficiency108.8

110.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

-7.0Net Efficiency1.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.2

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

70.7Tempo76.3

49.8%Effective FG%52.6%

18.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

35.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-4.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (108.8–103.1), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.1), net efficiency (1.7–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.2), offensive rebounding (28.5–25.5).

Final

UC Riverside

72—78

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 6 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

27-66FG23-55

41.0%FG%42.0%

9-303PT5-15

30.0%3PT%33.0%

9-16FT27-32

56.0%FT%84.0%

36Rebounds44

6Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists9

9Turnovers10

7Steals5

5Blocks3

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Henderson	G	38	6-22	2-12	5-7	9	3	3	2	19
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	32	7-13	3-5	1-4	8	4	2	0	18
Osiris Grady	F	27	4-6	1-1	0-1	6	1	0	0	9
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	33	3-8	2-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
BJ Kolly	F	23	3-7	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	2	8
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	4
Ben Waller	G	20	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	1	3
Dylan Godfrey	F	2	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tyler Jones	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	35	5-9	1-4	7-8	9	2	3	0	18
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	19	3-7	1-3	4-4	5	1	0	1	11
Kendrick De Luna	F	17	2-5	0-0	7-8	2	1	0	2	11
Landon Seaman	F	23	3-6	0-1	4-4	4	0	0	0	10
Bailey Nunn	G	33	3-10	1-3	1-2	10	1	2	0	8
Bryce Cofield	G	20	3-10	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	0	7
Jaden Henderson	G	23	2-3	1-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	5
KJ Garris	G	17	1-3	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Davis White	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Christian Williams	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

95.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency95.5

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

47.7%Effective FG%46.4%

48.9%True Shooting %55.6%

11.7%Turnover Rate13.5%

24.2%Free Throw Rate58.2%

45.5%3-Point Rate27.3%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.