Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Cal State Northridge

53.0%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL169.7

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -113

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 84

Projected Total169.7

Projected ScoreCal Poly 85

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricCal Poly

50MMH Power Index46.5

107.3Offensive Efficiency107.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency111.0

2.1Net Efficiency-3.8

-0.6Strength of Schedule1.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

75.9Tempo76.6

51.0%Effective FG%52.2%

17.3%Turnover Rate19.8%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.8%

1.6Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–46.5), offensive efficiency (107.3–107.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–111.0), net efficiency (2.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-0.6), recent form (2.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.0).

Final

Cal State Northridge

97—96

Cal Poly

Cal State Northridge by 1 • 79.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATCal Poly

38-72FG33-63

53.0%FG%52.0%

14-273PT17-42

52.0%3PT%40.0%

7-10FT13-14

70.0%FT%93.0%

36Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds5

24Assists19

13Turnovers15

9Steals10

—Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	32	12-20	6-10	2-3	4	0	1	32
Mahmoud Fofana	F	29	6-9	0-0	5-5	4	2	0	17
Jordan Brinson	G	28	5-8	4-5	0-0	7	3	0	14
Joshua O'Garro	G	33	4-12	1-3	0-0	12	6	2	9
Josiah Davis	G	28	4-8	0-1	0-1	1	12	4	8
Jai Chisolm	G	15	3-7	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	7
James Evans Jr.	G	14	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	5
Davius Loury	F	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	3
Aleks Szymczyk	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	2
Grady Lewis	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	33	10-15	7-11	6-6	2	1	0	1	33
Peter Bandelj	G	34	7-14	1-7	5-6	7	5	5	1	20
Guzman Vasilic	G	25	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	3	0	0	11
Cayden Ward	G	32	2-8	2-7	2-2	7	5	2	0	8
Jake Davis	G	25	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	8
Jackson Mosley	PG	18	3-6	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Austin Goode	F	21	3-6	0-2	0-0	6	1	2	0	6
Ali Assran	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Troy Plumtree	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.8Possessions79.8

121.6Offensive Efficiency120.3

120.3Defensive Efficiency121.6

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

62.5%Effective FG%65.9%

63.2%True Shooting %68.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.8%

13.9%Free Throw Rate22.2%

37.5%3-Point Rate66.7%

1.85Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 79.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.