Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.3%Evansville

92.7%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -16.4

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -1270

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 64

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreValparaiso 80

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricValparaiso

31.6MMH Power Index49.9

98.5Offensive Efficiency106.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

-13.9Net Efficiency0.8

1.8Strength of Schedule0.3

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.0Tempo67.5

50.0%Effective FG%48.7%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

30.8%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-9.5Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–31.6), offensive efficiency (106.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.4), net efficiency (0.8–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.0–48.7).

Final

Evansville

63—70

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 7 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATValparaiso

23-60FG26-63

38.0%FG%41.0%

10-253PT6-23

40.0%3PT%26.0%

7-11FT12-15

64.0%FT%80.0%

29Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists10

13Turnovers14

7Steals8

1Blocks5

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leif Moeller	G	43	8-13	5-6	5-6	5	0	1	0	26
AJ Casey	F	42	7-18	1-4	1-2	7	5	4	0	16
Joshua Hughes	F	37	4-7	2-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	10
Alex Hemenway	G	37	2-11	2-10	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Trent Hundley	F	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
James Dyson-Merwe	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Bryce Quinet	G	34	0-5	0-0	1-3	1	5	1	1	1
Kaia Berridge	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Dease	F	35	7-16	2-6	2-2	5	0	0	0	18
Justus McNair	G	38	5-12	2-6	4-4	3	3	1	0	16
Carter Hopoi	F	24	4-4	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	2	10
JT Pettigrew	F	35	3-9	1-4	1-2	8	2	3	0	8
Rakim Chaney	G	27	2-10	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Shon Tupuola	C	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	10	1	0	3	6
Sader Servilus	G	19	1-4	0-2	1-2	4	1	3	0	3
Mark Brown Jr.	G	17	1-4	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	0	2
Tucker Tornatta	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

91.0Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency91.0

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

46.7%Effective FG%46.0%

48.3%True Shooting %49.9%

18.8%Turnover Rate20.3%

18.3%Free Throw Rate23.8%

41.7%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.