Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%Murray State

65.0%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -186

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 75

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 80

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricSouthern Illinois

53.6MMH Power Index54.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency103.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency98.5

4.0Net Efficiency4.9

3.5Strength of Schedule1.6

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

72.3Tempo70.6

54.0%Effective FG%49.5%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate32.3%

2.9Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.0–103.4), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.5), ball security (16.3–17.0).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.6–53.6), defensive efficiency (98.5–111.0), net efficiency (4.9–4.0).

Final

Murray State

91—81

Southern Illinois

Murray State by 10 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

30-51FG29-65

59.0%FG%45.0%

11-233PT5-22

48.0%3PT%23.0%

20-26FT18-23

77.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists11

15Turnovers7

3Steals8

2Blocks1

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roman Domon	G	34	4-11	2-5	7-8	5	3	0	0	17
Fred King	C	26	6-8	1-1	4-6	9	0	1	0	17
Javon Jackson	G	26	7-12	1-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	15
Layne Taylor	G	28	5-7	4-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	14
Mathis Courbon	G	18	3-3	2-2	4-4	1	1	0	0	12
KJ Tenner	G	12	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
JJ Traynor	F	23	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	2	4
Brock Vice	F	6	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	3
Brayden Shorter	G	7	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mason Miller	F	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	36	9-17	1-3	7-8	4	1	1	0	26
Rolyns Aligbe	F	32	6-12	4-8	2-2	6	1	1	1	18
Prince Aligbe	F	29	6-10	0-0	3-4	4	2	2	0	15
Drew Steffe	G	40	4-8	0-2	2-2	3	4	2	0	10
Jalen Haynes	G	29	3-13	0-8	2-2	0	2	2	0	8
Caden Hawkins	G	7	0-2	0-1	2-5	1	1	0	0	2
Jorge Moreno	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Davion Sykes	G	17	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Max Pikaar	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

124.3Offensive Efficiency110.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency124.3

13.7Net Efficiency-13.7

69.6%Effective FG%48.5%

71.8%True Shooting %53.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate9.6%

51.0%Free Throw Rate35.4%

45.1%3-Point Rate33.8%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Murray State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.