Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Auburn

61.7%Georgia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL171.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia -161

Georgia

22-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 83

Projected Total171.4

Projected ScoreGeorgia 89

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricGeorgia

64.4MMH Power Index64.1

118.8Offensive Efficiency119.7

113.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

5.8Net Efficiency12.8

7.5Strength of Schedule4.9

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

69.8Tempo74.7

53.1%Effective FG%54.4%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.3%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %34.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate37.6%

4.1Average Margin9.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.7–118.8), defensive efficiency (106.9–113.0), net efficiency (12.8–5.8), shooting efficiency (54.4–53.1).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (64.4–64.1), strength of schedule (7.5–4.9), recent form (8.0–-2.7).

Final

Auburn

70—68

Georgia

Auburn by 2 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATGeorgia

24-61FG26-57

39.0%FG%46.0%

10-233PT7-20

43.0%3PT%35.0%

12-20FT9-20

60.0%FT%45.0%

39Rebounds38

15Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists8

11Turnovers12

9Steals4

5Blocks5

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	22	7-13	5-7	5-8	3	2	2	0	24
Miles Kelly	Guard	32	4-8	1-4	4-4	5	0	1	0	13
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	31	5-16	3-6	0-0	6	1	1	0	13
Denver Jones	Guard	27	3-8	1-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	8
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	18	2-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	2	0	5
Jahki Howard	F	10	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Chaney Johnson	Forward	35	1-9	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	2
Dylan Cardwell	Center	22	1-2	0-0	0-2	7	3	2	4	2
Chris Moore	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Georgia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Asa Newell	Forward	33	6-13	2-4	2-4	10	1	0	1	16
Blue Cain	G	30	4-11	2-6	2-4	8	2	0	0	12
Tyrin Lawrence	Guard	29	4-9	2-4	2-4	3	1	0	1	12
Silas Demary Jr.	G	29	3-10	1-5	1-2	3	2	1	0	8
Justin Abson	F	11	3-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Dakota Leffew	Guard	26	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	1	6
RJ Godfrey	F	23	2-3	0-0	1-4	4	0	1	0	5
Somtochukwu Cyril	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	2
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

105.3Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency105.3

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

47.5%Effective FG%51.8%

49.6%True Shooting %51.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.0%

32.8%Free Throw Rate35.1%

37.7%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Auburn won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.