Alcorn State

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.1%Alcorn State

82.9%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -485

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 72

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 83

Team Comparison

Alcorn StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

29.1MMH Power Index38.7

96.0Offensive Efficiency106.4

115.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

-19.1Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.1Strength of Schedule-6.0

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

69.7Tempo72.6

47.8%Effective FG%51.4%

19.6%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

32.4%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-13.3Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–29.1), offensive efficiency (106.4–96.0), defensive efficiency (111.6–115.1), net efficiency (-5.2–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-6.0).

Final

Alcorn State

77—84

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 7 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alcorn StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

28-56FG28-49

50.0%FG%57.0%

10-193PT9-17

53.0%3PT%53.0%

11-13FT19-24

85.0%FT%79.0%

22Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists15

10Turnovers15

11Steals5

2Blocks5

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davian Williams	PG	30	5-10	5-8	3-3	4	1	3	0	18
Tycen McDaniels	F	31	6-9	0-0	0-0	5	1	5	1	12
Nick Woodard	SF	34	4-6	2-2	1-1	2	0	1	1	11
Bryson Calamese	PG	24	5-10	0-2	1-2	2	3	0	0	11
Shane Lancaster	G	23	3-5	2-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	10
Jameel Morris	PG	30	3-8	0-1	3-3	1	6	2	0	9
Omari Hamilton	F	15	1-6	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Travis Roberts	SG	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	33	8-13	2-3	7-8	7	2	0	0	25
Alex Mirhosseini	G	33	6-7	4-5	4-5	2	6	1	0	20
Jaquan Scott	F	30	5-10	0-1	3-5	11	0	1	3	13
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	24	4-7	1-3	1-2	4	2	1	1	10
Milhan Charles	G	31	2-6	0-0	4-4	1	1	2	0	8
Trevon Payton	G	34	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	4	0	0	6
Dennis Asoro	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Anthony Sellars	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

116.1Offensive Efficiency126.7

126.7Defensive Efficiency116.1

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

58.9%Effective FG%66.3%

61.9%True Shooting %69.5%

15.1%Turnover Rate22.6%

23.2%Free Throw Rate49.0%

33.9%3-Point Rate34.7%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.