San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.9%San José State

88.1%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -740

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 68

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricColorado State

42MMH Power Index55.4

108.7Offensive Efficiency117.1

118.5Defensive Efficiency109.9

-9.8Net Efficiency7.2

1.8Strength of Schedule0.4

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

66.2Tempo64.7

50.8%Effective FG%58.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.2%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-6.5Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–42.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–108.7), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.4), ball security (15.2–18.3), offensive rebounding (30.7–29.2).

Final

San José State

57—65

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATColorado State

21-60FG22-58

35.0%FG%38.0%

5-203PT6-27

25.0%3PT%22.0%

10-11FT15-20

91.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds48

3Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists14

4Turnovers10

6Steals2

2Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colby Garland	G	40	9-20	1-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	21
Pasha Goodarzi	G	40	4-9	2-6	5-5	2	0	1	0	15
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	40	2-8	0-2	3-4	4	0	0	0	7
Sadraque NgaNga	F	20	2-8	2-5	0-0	4	0	2	0	6
Adrian Myers	F	33	2-7	0-2	0-0	6	4	3	0	4
Japhet Moupadele	F	16	2-7	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	2	4
Marcus Overstreet	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Douglas Langford	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jevin Muniz	G	26	5-10	2-4	3-4	6	5	0	0	15
Rashaan Mbemba	F	20	4-7	0-0	3-4	11	0	0	1	11
Josh Pascarelli	G	31	3-7	3-7	0-0	4	2	0	0	9
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	21	3-10	1-6	1-2	2	1	1	1	8
Carey Booth	F	23	2-4	0-2	2-2	7	1	1	1	6
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	11	1-1	0-0	4-4	1	1	0	0	6
Kyle Jorgensen	F	21	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Jojo McIver	G	19	1-6	0-3	2-4	7	0	0	0	4
Jase Butler	G	28	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	3	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

86.5Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency86.5

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

39.2%Effective FG%43.1%

43.7%True Shooting %48.1%

6.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

18.3%Free Throw Rate34.5%

33.3%3-Point Rate46.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.