North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%North Carolina Central

80.0%Norfolk State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorfolk State -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorfolk State -400

Norfolk State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 70

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreNorfolk State 80

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricNorfolk State

35.8MMH Power Index43.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency108.9

110.2Defensive Efficiency105.2

-5.3Net Efficiency3.7

-8.0Strength of Schedule-9.4

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.6

68.5Tempo70.1

49.8%Effective FG%51.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

39.7%Free Throw Rate44.6%

-3.6Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Norfolk State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorfolk State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–35.8), offensive efficiency (108.9–104.9), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.2), net efficiency (3.7–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-8.0–-9.4).

Final

North Carolina Central

68—75

Norfolk State

Norfolk State by 7 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATNorfolk State

26-55FG24-50

47.0%FG%48.0%

5-183PT6-18

28.0%3PT%33.0%

11-14FT21-27

79.0%FT%78.0%

23Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists8

16Turnovers20

9Steals7

7Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gage Lattimore	G	39	6-14	4-10	3-3	4	1	3	0	19
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	31	8-9	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	3	18
Jae Slack	F	28	5-9	1-3	1-1	2	1	0	0	12
Dionte Johnson	G	33	2-6	0-3	2-2	3	4	1	0	6
Tekao Carpenter	G	32	2-8	0-2	2-2	0	0	1	0	6
Ryan Archey	G	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Kyric Davis	G	20	1-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	4	3
Khouri Carvey	F	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Camren Daniels	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Norfolk State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Jamison	G	29	8-11	3-4	9-10	2	3	1	0	28
Anthony McComb III	G	32	2-8	1-5	3-4	4	0	0	0	8
My'kel Jenkins	G	23	3-5	1-3	1-3	3	1	2	0	8
Devon Ellis	F	35	3-6	0-1	1-2	3	3	1	1	7
Melo Baines	F	13	1-2	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	6
Jaquel Morris	F	16	2-6	0-0	1-2	7	1	2	0	5
Adrean Newton	G	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Keyontae Lewis	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Jordan Leaks	G	13	1-5	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Dian Wright-Forde	G	11	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

94.7Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency94.7

-9.7Net Efficiency9.7

51.8%Effective FG%54.0%

55.2%True Shooting %59.7%

22.3%Turnover Rate27.8%

25.5%Free Throw Rate54.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate36.0%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.40

Game Summary

Norfolk State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.