Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Omaha

89.3%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -835

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 70

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 84

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricNorth Dakota State

44.5MMH Power Index59

110.2Offensive Efficiency115.4

110.8Defensive Efficiency100.8

-0.6Net Efficiency14.6

-2.5Strength of Schedule-4.6

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

69.0Tempo69.6

53.6%Effective FG%54.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–44.5), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.6).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.5–-4.6), free throw rate (34.0–31.3).

Final

Omaha

84—92

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 8 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

30-57FG31-62

53.0%FG%50.0%

15-313PT10-25

48.0%3PT%40.0%

9-12FT20-22

75.0%FT%91.0%

28Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists14

11Turnovers5

2Steals5

6Blocks3

19Fouls9

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul Djobet	G	35	14-22	6-10	4-6	6	2	0	1	38
Ja'Sean Glover	G	23	5-10	2-5	4-4	0	0	1	0	16
Tony Osburn	G	31	5-11	4-8	0-0	6	0	0	0	14
Grant Stubblefield	G	37	3-5	2-2	0-0	4	11	0	1	8
Lance Waddles	G	24	3-8	1-6	0-0	3	0	0	1	7
Christian Richardson	C	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	1	1
Kamryn Thomas	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Brock Scholl	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Valentino Simon	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Feddersen	F	24	7-10	0-1	4-4	6	1	0	1	18
Andy Stefonowicz	G	35	3-7	2-5	6-7	2	8	0	1	14
Markhi Strickland	G	21	6-10	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	14
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	31	4-6	1-2	4-4	2	1	1	0	13
Treyson Anderson	F	16	3-6	3-4	4-4	1	0	0	0	13
Trevian Carson	G	32	4-11	1-4	0-0	6	2	1	1	9
Tay Smith	G	25	3-8	3-8	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Emil Skytta	G	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
Riley Massey	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

125.2Offensive Efficiency137.1

137.1Defensive Efficiency125.2

-11.9Net Efficiency11.9

65.8%Effective FG%58.1%

67.0%True Shooting %63.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate7.4%

21.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

54.4%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.36Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.