Syracuse

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Syracuse

91.4%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -1063

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSyracuse 68

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreVirginia 83

Team Comparison

SyracuseMetricVirginia

52.2MMH Power Index68.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

106.6Defensive Efficiency101.8

2.6Net Efficiency17.2

5.6Strength of Schedule5.2

-15.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.0Tempo67.6

52.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

36.2%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.8Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–52.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (101.8–106.6), net efficiency (17.2–2.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.2), ball security (15.6–16.0), free throw rate (36.2–33.2).

Final

Syracuse

59—72

Virginia

Virginia by 13 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SyracuseTEAM STATVirginia

25-51FG26-63

49.0%FG%41.0%

3-113PT10-30

27.0%3PT%33.0%

6-7FT10-14

86.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists18

13Turnovers10

4Steals9

7Blocks5

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Naithan George	G	35	8-9	0-0	3-3	1	3	0	0	19
Nate Kingz	G	34	5-11	1-6	2-2	5	0	1	1	13
J.J. Starling	G	30	6-14	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	13
Donnie Freeman	F	33	2-11	1-3	0-0	9	4	0	0	5
Tyler Betsey	F	17	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
William Kyle III	F	32	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	4	2
Ibrahim Souare	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Sadiq White Jr.	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bryce Zephir	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	26	5-10	4-8	2-2	3	0	1	0	16
Ugonna Onyenso	C	23	5-8	0-1	0-0	8	1	2	3	10
Thijs De Ridder	F	28	3-11	0-4	3-5	5	1	1	0	9
Jacari White	G	22	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	3	2	0	8
Malik Thomas	G	17	3-9	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Dallin Hall	G	27	2-5	1-3	0-1	4	5	1	0	5
Chance Mallory	G	24	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	5	2	0	5
Johann Grunloh	C	17	1-3	0-1	3-4	3	1	0	2	5
Devin Tillis	F	15	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Martin Carrere	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

95.2Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency95.2

-21.0Net Efficiency21.0

52.0%Effective FG%49.2%

54.3%True Shooting %51.7%

21.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

13.7%Free Throw Rate22.2%

21.6%3-Point Rate47.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Virginia won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.