Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Wagner

66.3%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -197

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 70

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricCentral Connecticut

42.9MMH Power Index44.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency111.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.0

-0.6Net Efficiency4.4

-5.0Strength of Schedule-7.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

67.6Tempo66.3

50.2%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Wagner

67—84

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 17 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

24-64FG27-47

38.0%FG%57.0%

9-273PT6-11

33.0%3PT%55.0%

10-14FT24-31

71.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds36

13Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists17

9Turnovers10

7Steals6

—Blocks6

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Eddie Placer	G	30	7-10	7-10	5-5	1	2	1	26
Jaden Baker	G	33	4-13	0-5	0-0	3	2	2	8
Bryan Akanmu	F	26	4-10	0-0	0-0	7	3	1	8
John Awoke	G	22	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	8
Michael Cooper	G	20	2-5	0-1	4-4	1	2	0	8
Elijah Brown	G	14	2-4	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	4
Nick Jones	G	20	1-11	0-4	1-1	2	2	2	3
Travis Gray	G	19	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	2
Binael Basil	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0
Makhai Anderson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	33	7-16	2-4	9-9	2	3	0	0	25
Max Frazier	F	26	7-8	0-0	7-10	7	1	2	3	21
Jay Rodgers	G	26	3-7	1-2	7-10	0	5	1	0	14
Roddy Jones	G	16	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
James Jones	G	33	3-4	0-1	0-0	11	0	0	0	6
Daniel James	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	4
Melo Sanchez	G	24	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	3	1	0	3
Elijah Parker	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	2
Nico Ashley	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ashton Reynolds	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

102.0Offensive Efficiency127.9

127.9Defensive Efficiency102.0

-25.9Net Efficiency25.9

44.5%Effective FG%63.8%

47.4%True Shooting %68.0%

13.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

21.9%Free Throw Rate66.0%

42.2%3-Point Rate23.4%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.