Virginia Tech

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Virginia Tech

68.5%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -217

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 77

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreNC State 83

Team Comparison

Virginia TechMetricNC State

57.7MMH Power Index60.1

112.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

107.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

5.6Net Efficiency9.8

5.8Strength of Schedule6.4

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.8Tempo70.2

52.3%Effective FG%55.1%

14.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.7%

3.9Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.8), net efficiency (9.8–5.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.8).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–108.6), recent form (-3.9–-11.9), offensive rebounding (31.1–28.2).

Final

Virginia Tech

73—82

NC State

NC State by 9 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Virginia TechTEAM STATNC State

27-63FG28-54

43.0%FG%52.0%

7-253PT9-21

28.0%3PT%43.0%

12-15FT17-24

80.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists14

15Turnovers11

5Steals10

1Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amani Hansberry	F	32	7-19	0-5	5-6	7	4	3	0	19
Tobi Lawal	F	30	6-10	0-2	5-5	15	2	0	0	17
Neoklis Avdalas	G	34	5-6	2-3	2-4	3	3	0	1	14
Jaden Schutt	G	28	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Jailen Bedford	G	26	3-11	2-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
Christian Gurdak	C	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Ben Hammond	G	32	0-9	0-4	0-0	0	4	0	0	0
Antonio Dorn	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quadir Copeland	G	32	7-11	0-1	7-10	3	10	5	0	21
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	27	5-8	4-7	7-8	1	0	0	2	21
Tre Holloman	G	37	6-10	3-5	1-2	3	2	2	0	16
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	27	5-7	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	1	11
Matt Able	G	21	3-7	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Darrion Williams	F	31	1-9	1-6	1-2	5	1	1	1	4
Terrance Arceneaux	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Musa Sagnia	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

101.0Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency101.0

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

48.4%Effective FG%60.2%

52.0%True Shooting %62.7%

20.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

23.8%Free Throw Rate44.4%

39.7%3-Point Rate38.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

NC State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.