Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.9%Kansas State

87.1%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -13.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -675

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 73

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreTCU 86

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricTCU

47.1MMH Power Index59.7

107.8Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

-3.1Net Efficiency7.5

5.5Strength of Schedule4.6

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

73.8Tempo70.2

53.5%Effective FG%50.5%

17.4%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

27.4%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-2.3Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (110.2–107.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.9), net efficiency (7.5–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.5).

Final

Kansas State

82—84

TCU

TCU by 2 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATTCU

33-63FG27-59

52.0%FG%46.0%

11-263PT8-26

42.0%3PT%31.0%

5-8FT22-36

63.0%FT%61.0%

25Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds17

24Assists18

12Turnovers13

8Steals7

5Blocks—

23Fouls10

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	39	14-24	2-5	0-1	1	1	1	0	30
Marcus Johnson	F	19	5-6	5-6	0-0	3	3	0	0	15
Nate Johnson	G	37	5-11	1-6	2-3	4	11	6	2	13
David Castillo	G	40	3-10	3-8	2-2	0	2	1	0	11
Khamari McGriff	F	24	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	3	6
Taj Manning	F	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
C.J. Jones	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Dorin Buca	C	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Xavier Edmonds	F	30	9-10	1-1	7-13	10	0	2	26
Micah Robinson	F	26	5-12	2-6	4-7	6	2	0	16
David Punch	F	30	4-10	0-2	6-8	6	3	2	14
Jayden Pierre	G	37	3-8	0-3	4-4	1	4	2	10
Brock Harding	G	29	3-6	3-6	0-0	3	6	1	9
Tanner Toolson	G	24	2-7	1-4	1-4	5	2	0	6
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	3
Jace Posey	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Vianney Salatchoum	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

114.8Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency114.8

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

61.1%Effective FG%52.5%

61.4%True Shooting %55.2%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.0%

12.7%Free Throw Rate61.0%

41.3%3-Point Rate44.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

TCU won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.