Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Siena

45.2%Saint Peter's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Peter's -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL136.7

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -121

Saint Peter's

17-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 68

Projected Total136.7

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 68

Team Comparison

SienaMetricSaint Peter's

53.8MMH Power Index47.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency106.6

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.0

7.0Net Efficiency3.6

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.8

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.5

64.4Tempo66.4

50.7%Effective FG%47.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

34.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

4.5Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–47.5), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.6), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.0), net efficiency (7.0–3.6).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (36.8–31.4), free throw rate (36.6–34.9).

Final

Siena

65—70

Saint Peter's

Saint Peter's by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATSaint Peter's

23-54FG22-48

43.0%FG%46.0%

3-173PT4-15

18.0%3PT%27.0%

16-21FT22-36

76.0%FT%61.0%

24Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists7

10Turnovers14

9Steals9

4Blocks2

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	32	6-13	1-4	6-6	4	1	3	0	19
Francis Folefac	F	37	6-10	0-0	4-7	5	7	3	0	16
Antonio Chandler	F	27	5-6	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	2	12
Justice Shoats	G	37	1-9	1-1	4-6	1	0	3	0	7
Brendan Coyle	F	28	2-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Riley Mulvey	C	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Isaiah Henderson	F	16	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Christian Jones	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Eaton	G	32	8-14	2-4	4-5	3	2	1	0	22
Brent Bland	G	37	2-8	1-7	6-10	6	2	1	0	11
Zaakir Williamson	F	20	4-8	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	0	10
Lucas Scroggins	F	32	4-5	0-0	1-4	8	0	1	1	9
Elijah Perkins	G	30	3-8	0-1	2-4	5	2	3	1	8
Jahki Gupton	F	24	0-1	0-1	6-7	4	0	1	0	6
Eric Morgan Jr.	G	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
TJ Robinson	G	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Shaedon Simpson	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Bol Agu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

95.4Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency95.4

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

45.4%Effective FG%50.0%

50.8%True Shooting %53.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate20.6%

38.9%Free Throw Rate75.0%

31.5%3-Point Rate31.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Saint Peter's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.