The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%The Citadel

84.0%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChattanooga -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEChattanooga -525

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 70

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreChattanooga 82

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricChattanooga

35.6MMH Power Index45.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.7

116.9Defensive Efficiency110.5

-10.8Net Efficiency2.2

-1.3Strength of Schedule-4.4

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.3Tempo68.1

50.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.1%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

29.6%Free Throw Rate29.2%

-7.2Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–35.6), offensive efficiency (112.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (110.5–116.9), net efficiency (2.2–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-4.4), offensive rebounding (28.6–23.5), free throw rate (29.6–29.2).

Final

The Citadel

78—71

Chattanooga

The Citadel by 7 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATChattanooga

29-58FG28-63

50.0%FG%44.0%

9-293PT9-29

31.0%3PT%31.0%

11-13FT6-8

85.0%FT%75.0%

30Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists17

9Turnovers12

10Steals5

4Blocks4

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braxton Williams	F	37	7-14	4-10	0-0	0	1	3	0	18
Sola Adebisi	F	37	8-12	0-2	2-2	5	1	2	1	18
Carter Kingsbury	G	35	6-12	2-5	2-2	6	2	3	0	16
Eze Wali	G	31	3-7	1-4	4-6	2	5	1	0	11
Logan Applegate	G	21	2-4	2-4	3-3	6	2	1	1	9
Simeon German	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
Keynan Davis	G	15	1-5	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	2
Marcos Gonzales	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dante Kearse	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	29	10-17	2-5	2-2	3	3	1	0	24
Brennan Watkins	G	33	6-12	3-8	0-0	2	3	0	0	15
Tate Darner	G	30	3-7	1-3	2-2	7	3	1	0	9
Jikari Johnson	G	13	3-6	3-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	9
Collin Mulholland	F	20	2-3	0-1	1-1	3	3	1	1	5
Houston Holland	G	23	2-7	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	14	1-8	0-4	1-3	2	0	1	0	3
Billy Smith	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Makai Richards	C	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Parker Robison	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Josh Bowman	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

114.7Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency114.7

10.3Net Efficiency-10.3

57.8%Effective FG%51.6%

60.8%True Shooting %53.1%

13.4%Turnover Rate17.4%

22.4%Free Throw Rate12.7%

50.0%3-Point Rate46.0%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

The Citadel won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.