Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Missouri State

69.0%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -223

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 72

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreLiberty 78

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricLiberty

51.1MMH Power Index53.7

110.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

108.4Defensive Efficiency108.0

2.1Net Efficiency11.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.0

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

67.9Tempo65.3

51.8%Effective FG%60.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.1%

1.4Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–110.5), defensive efficiency (108.0–108.4), net efficiency (11.0–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.0), recent form (-2.1–-4.2), offensive rebounding (33.0–19.0).

Final

Missouri State

76—79

Liberty

Liberty by 3 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATLiberty

27-56FG27-49

48.0%FG%55.0%

8-173PT7-20

47.0%3PT%35.0%

14-26FT18-28

54.0%FT%64.0%

34Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists22

10Turnovers11

5Steals6

3Blocks5

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	29	9-17	3-4	4-4	9	2	1	0	25
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	25	6-12	0-0	4-12	9	2	2	0	16
Kobi Williams	G	35	3-5	1-3	4-4	2	1	0	1	11
Zaxton King	G	26	3-7	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Melakih Cunningham	G	13	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	1	6
Antwan Burnett	G	24	1-3	1-1	0-2	4	1	0	0	3
Tyrique Brooks	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Cameron Boone	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Darrion Sutton	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Trey Williams Jr.	G	25	0-5	0-3	0-2	2	5	0	0	0

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brett Decker Jr.	G	37	6-9	3-5	5-5	2	2	0	0	20
Zach Cleveland	F	37	8-13	0-0	3-9	10	11	2	1	19
Josh Smith	F	17	5-6	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	2	12
Colin Porter	G	35	1-4	1-4	7-10	3	6	3	0	10
Kaden Metheny	G	37	3-9	2-7	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
JJ Harper	G	16	3-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	7	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Zander Carter	G	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

112.8Offensive Efficiency117.2

117.2Defensive Efficiency112.8

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

55.4%Effective FG%62.2%

55.6%True Shooting %63.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.1%

46.4%Free Throw Rate57.1%

30.4%3-Point Rate40.8%

1.40Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Liberty won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.