UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%UC Riverside

81.6%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -443

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 74

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 85

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal State Northridge

41.2MMH Power Index50

103.1Offensive Efficiency107.3

110.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

-7.0Net Efficiency2.1

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.6

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.7Tempo75.9

49.8%Effective FG%51.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-4.9Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–103.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.1), net efficiency (2.1–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.6), free throw rate (35.2–34.7).

Final

UC Riverside

74—88

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 14 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal State Northridge

26-69FG35-60

38.0%FG%58.0%

10-383PT8-13

26.0%3PT%62.0%

12-13FT10-22

92.0%FT%45.0%

37Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists23

13Turnovers11

7Steals6

4Blocks6

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	38	12-25	5-13	7-7	4	1	4	1	36
Andrew Henderson	G	33	5-16	2-11	0-0	5	0	0	2	12
Ben Waller	G	22	3-10	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	7
BJ Kolly	F	17	2-2	0-0	1-2	6	3	1	1	5
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	27	0-3	0-0	4-4	8	2	0	0	4
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	35	1-7	1-7	0-0	4	5	1	0	3
Tyler Jones	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Osiris Grady	F	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Dylan Godfrey	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
EJ Spillman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	33	7-12	3-5	1-1	2	0	0	1	18
Joshua O'Garro	G	29	8-11	1-2	0-0	7	4	0	0	17
Josiah Davis	G	27	6-12	0-0	5-13	4	8	1	1	17
James Evans Jr.	G	24	5-11	3-3	4-7	4	2	0	0	17
Mahmoud Fofana	F	34	6-8	0-0	0-1	8	3	3	2	12
Jordan Brinson	G	24	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	6	1	1	3
Davius Loury	F	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Jai Chisolm	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Grady Lewis	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aleks Szymczyk	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

101.5Offensive Efficiency120.7

120.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

-19.2Net Efficiency19.2

44.9%Effective FG%65.0%

49.2%True Shooting %62.5%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.2%

18.8%Free Throw Rate36.7%

55.1%3-Point Rate21.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.09

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.