Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Florida State

37.9%Notre Dame

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -164

Notre Dame

13-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 80

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 78

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricNotre Dame

58.7MMH Power Index49.7

111.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

108.5Defensive Efficiency111.2

3.4Net Efficiency-0.9

5.7Strength of Schedule4.7

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6

71.8Tempo68.0

52.4%Effective FG%53.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

2.4Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–49.7), offensive efficiency (111.9–110.3), defensive efficiency (108.5–111.2), net efficiency (3.4–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.0–52.4), offensive rebounding (31.4–30.3).

Final

Florida State

82—79

Notre Dame

Florida State by 3 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATNotre Dame

25-65FG27-64

38.0%FG%42.0%

15-373PT10-31

41.0%3PT%32.0%

17-22FT15-24

77.0%FT%63.0%

37Rebounds47

9Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists13

5Turnovers12

5Steals3

4Blocks5

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chauncey Wiggins	F	30	8-15	5-10	1-3	3	1	0	0	22
Robert McCray V	G	22	4-13	4-6	3-4	4	2	0	1	15
Lajae Jones	G	33	3-7	1-2	4-5	5	2	0	0	11
Alex Steen	F	22	2-4	0-0	6-6	9	2	0	1	10
AJ Swinton	F	22	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	1	1	2	8
Martin Somerville	G	31	2-8	2-7	1-2	6	6	2	0	7
Thomas Bassong	F	21	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Kobe MaGee	G	16	1-6	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Alier Maluk	F	0	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Cam Miles	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	39	5-14	4-12	4-4	5	4	1	0	18
Jalen Haralson	F	15	5-9	0-1	5-5	4	1	0	0	15
Cole Certa	G	38	5-15	4-11	0-0	3	2	0	0	14
Sir Mohammed	G	28	4-11	1-2	2-2	8	1	1	2	11
Logan Imes	G	21	3-8	1-3	0-1	5	3	0	1	7
Garrett Sundra	F	16	2-2	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Carson Towt	F	24	2-2	0-0	0-7	8	0	0	1	4
Brady Koehler	F	19	1-3	0-2	2-3	5	1	1	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

113.1Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency113.1

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

50.0%Effective FG%50.0%

54.3%True Shooting %52.4%

7.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

33.8%Free Throw Rate37.5%

56.9%3-Point Rate48.4%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Florida State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.