American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.7%American University

81.3%Navy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -435

Navy

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 66

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreNavy 76

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricNavy

48.2MMH Power Index56.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency113.2

105.8Defensive Efficiency97.6

4.8Net Efficiency15.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-8.1

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency16.4

67.5Tempo65.9

52.6%Effective FG%53.7%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.1%Free Throw Rate40.9%

3.3Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.8), net efficiency (15.6–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.3–-8.1), ball security (15.7–17.1).

Final

American University

73—82

Navy

Navy by 9 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATNavy

27-59FG28-50

46.0%FG%56.0%

12-353PT6-13

34.0%3PT%46.0%

7-11FT20-29

64.0%FT%69.0%

31Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists21

12Turnovers9

3Steals7

—Blocks3

27Fouls12

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Greg Jones	F	33	7-12	2-5	1-2	9	1	0	17
Julen Iturbe	F	29	6-11	3-7	0-0	2	4	1	15
Madden Collins	G	24	4-9	1-4	5-8	8	4	1	14
Matt Mayock	F	32	3-8	2-6	1-1	1	3	0	9
Geoff Sprouse	G	34	2-8	2-8	0-0	2	1	0	6
Kade Sebastian	G	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	5
Chris Eagan	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Wyatt Nausadis	G	20	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	3

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Kehoe	C	38	8-10	0-0	6-10	10	4	0	0	22
Donovan Draper	F	27	6-8	1-1	5-7	14	5	4	2	18
Austin Benigni	G	38	3-13	1-6	6-7	2	4	0	0	13
Mike Woods	F	15	4-6	1-1	2-2	0	3	0	0	11
Jinwoo Kim	G	25	3-5	1-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	7
Jordan Pennick	G	34	2-6	1-3	1-2	1	2	1	0	6
Cam Cole	G	23	2-2	1-1	0-1	2	1	1	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

113.2Offensive Efficiency127.1

127.1Defensive Efficiency113.2

-14.0Net Efficiency14.0

55.9%Effective FG%62.0%

56.8%True Shooting %64.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

18.6%Free Throw Rate58.0%

59.3%3-Point Rate26.0%

1.17Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Navy won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.