Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Western Illinois

97.8%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -24.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -4445

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 63

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreTennessee State 87

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricTennessee State

25.9MMH Power Index55.4

96.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

-17.7Net Efficiency8.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.1

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

67.5Tempo72.4

45.4%Effective FG%50.9%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-11.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–113.9), net efficiency (8.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1), free throw rate (37.5–34.7).

Final

Western Illinois

56—83

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 27 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATTennessee State

18-54FG34-66

33.0%FG%52.0%

4-203PT4-19

20.0%3PT%21.0%

16-22FT11-12

73.0%FT%92.0%

32Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists15

13Turnovers8

4Steals4

1Blocks2

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Lorenzen	G	33	8-18	3-10	5-6	6	1	2	0	24
Makai Kvamme	G	28	5-6	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	13
Goanar Biliew	F	29	2-8	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	0	6
Tyran Cook	G	19	1-5	0-1	2-4	4	1	0	0	4
Nick Hittle	F	4	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	3
Francis Okwuosah	F	22	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Antwaun Massey	F	20	0-3	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	1	2
Danny Stephens	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Griffin	F	22	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Marcus Pigram	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Edwards	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antoine Lorick III	F	20	7-9	0-2	4-4	4	2	0	1	18
Aaron Nkrumah	G	25	6-10	2-3	2-2	6	1	3	0	16
Jabrion Spikes	G	14	7-8	1-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	16
Travis Harper II	G	23	5-12	1-4	2-3	1	1	0	0	13
Jalen Pitre	F	25	3-3	0-0	0-0	10	1	1	1	6
Dante Harris	G	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	6	0	0	4
Damon Howard Jr.	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
JC Brooks	F	15	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Khalil London	G	14	0-5	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	2
Carlous Williams	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Kavien Jones	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Alex Garcia	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Jones	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

82.2Offensive Efficiency121.9

121.9Defensive Efficiency82.2

-39.6Net Efficiency39.6

37.0%Effective FG%54.5%

43.4%True Shooting %57.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate11.6%

40.7%Free Throw Rate18.2%

37.0%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.54Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.