Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Alabama State

70.8%Grambling

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrambling -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGrambling -242

Grambling

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreGrambling 77

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricGrambling

38MMH Power Index41.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency100.7

107.4Defensive Efficiency100.4

-5.7Net Efficiency0.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule-5.7

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.4

71.9Tempo69.9

48.2%Effective FG%49.2%

18.2%Turnover Rate20.9%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

35.8%Free Throw Rate42.2%

-4.1Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Alabama State

47—57

Grambling

Grambling by 10 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATGrambling

18-66FG17-48

27.0%FG%35.0%

6-263PT10-31

23.0%3PT%32.0%

5-10FT13-18

50.0%FT%72.0%

45Rebounds40

18Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists8

11Turnovers12

7Steals5

4Blocks6

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Simpson	G	33	5-16	3-8	2-4	6	3	3	0	15
Asjon Anderson	G	22	3-11	0-3	1-2	5	2	3	0	7
Tyler Byrd	G	26	2-7	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	1	6
Mario Andrews	C	18	2-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	5
Cameron Palesse	G	20	2-7	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Tyler Mack	G	20	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
JaSteven Walker	F	7	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jerquarius Stanback	F	25	1-7	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	3	2
R'Chaun King	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Damarien Yates	G	15	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roderick Coffee III	F	38	7-16	4-10	6-8	10	2	1	1	24
Rickey Ballard	F	31	4-10	4-10	2-2	3	0	1	0	14
Derrius Ward	G	33	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	7
Devyn Franklin	G	22	1-3	0-1	3-3	9	1	0	1	5
Chancellor Perkins	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jamil Muttilib	G	37	1-7	0-5	0-1	9	1	0	2	2
Antonio Munoz	F	7	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Saliou Seye	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	1	0
P.J. Edwards	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mekhi Fitts	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Randarius Jones	C	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

74.4Offensive Efficiency90.2

90.2Defensive Efficiency74.4

-15.8Net Efficiency15.8

31.8%Effective FG%45.8%

33.2%True Shooting %50.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate19.2%

15.2%Free Throw Rate37.5%

39.4%3-Point Rate64.6%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Grambling won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.