Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.9%Iowa State

16.1%West Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL141.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -521

West Virginia

21-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 76

Projected Total141.8

Projected ScoreWest Virginia 66

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricWest Virginia

75.9MMH Power Index56.5

119.3Offensive Efficiency108.2

96.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

23.3Net Efficiency7.5

4.9Strength of Schedule2.9

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.4Tempo65.3

56.1%Effective FG%51.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.6%

15.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–56.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–108.2), defensive efficiency (96.0–100.7), net efficiency (23.3–7.5).

West Virginia COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (35.6–35.2).

Final

Iowa State

57—64

West Virginia

West Virginia by 7 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATWest Virginia

25-57FG22-56

44.0%FG%39.0%

1-173PT9-27

6.0%3PT%33.0%

6-7FT11-14

86.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds28

8Offensive Rebounds5

4Assists9

14Turnovers9

4Steals14

1Blocks3

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	36	8-16	1-6	1-1	8	0	0	0	18
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	37	6-12	0-3	1-2	4	2	0	0	13
Joshua Jefferson	F	32	4-9	0-3	2-2	10	1	2	1	10
Tamin Lipsey	G	37	3-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Dishon Jackson	C	18	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Nate Heise	G	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Demarion Watson	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

West Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Small	Guard	36	9-16	2-7	7-7	7	5	4	0	27
Amani Hansberry	F	22	4-9	4-8	0-0	6	0	0	0	12
Jonathan Powell	G	37	3-8	2-4	1-2	2	1	2	0	9
Toby Okani	Guard	32	2-7	1-4	0-2	1	1	1	1	5
Eduardo Andre	Center	19	2-4	0-0	1-1	6	0	2	1	5
Joseph Yesufu	Guard	21	1-7	0-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Sencire Harris	G	24	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	2	1	2
KJ Tenner	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	3	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

85.7Offensive Efficiency96.2

96.2Defensive Efficiency85.7

-10.5Net Efficiency10.5

44.7%Effective FG%47.3%

47.2%True Shooting %51.1%

21.1%Turnover Rate13.5%

12.3%Free Throw Rate25.0%

29.8%3-Point Rate48.2%

0.29Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

West Virginia won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.