Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Northwestern State

54.6%East Texas A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Texas A&M -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Texas A&M -120

East Texas A&M

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 71

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricEast Texas A&M

41.3MMH Power Index38.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency101.2

109.0Defensive Efficiency107.5

-5.0Net Efficiency-6.3

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.1

63.6Tempo69.3

49.5%Effective FG%50.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate31.9%

-3.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

Northwestern State

48—52

East Texas A&M

East Texas A&M by 4 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATEast Texas A&M

16-60FG16-61

27.0%FG%26.0%

4-193PT6-27

21.0%3PT%22.0%

12-15FT14-21

80.0%FT%67.0%

51Rebounds44

15Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists13

15Turnovers10

6Steals11

9Blocks5

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Willie Williams	F	33	4-10	0-0	2-2	15	0	1	4	10
Landyn Jumawan	G	21	3-8	3-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Micah Thomas	G	36	3-16	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	7
Izzy Miles	G	12	2-7	0-2	3-4	1	1	1	0	7
Kordrick Turner	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	1	5
Chris Mubiru	G	27	2-5	0-1	0-1	7	2	0	1	4
Justin Redmond	G	15	0-5	0-3	4-4	3	1	0	0	4
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
CJ Larry	PG	22	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Chip Brunt	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	0
Moustapha Loum	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Quentin Bolton	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Pagotto	F	32	4-11	0-2	4-6	14	1	2	3	12
Damian Garcia	G	31	4-11	2-6	1-2	4	3	1	1	11
Vinny Sigona	G	21	4-8	3-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	11
Gianni Hunt	G	36	0-11	0-5	7-10	4	4	3	0	7
Ronnie Harrison	F	31	1-8	0-1	2-3	6	1	2	0	4
Josh Taylor	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Tay Mosher	F	12	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Evan Phelps	G	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

72.1Offensive Efficiency78.1

78.1Defensive Efficiency72.1

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

30.0%Effective FG%31.1%

35.8%True Shooting %36.6%

22.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

25.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

31.7%3-Point Rate44.3%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

East Texas A&M won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.