Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%Northern Colorado

41.1%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -143

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 80

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricIdaho State

53.7MMH Power Index45.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.0

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.4

8.4Net Efficiency-2.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule0.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.1Tempo67.1

56.9%Effective FG%52.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

27.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.0Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

69—61

Idaho State

Northern Colorado by 8 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATIdaho State

28-54FG22-59

52.0%FG%37.0%

6-173PT6-19

35.0%3PT%32.0%

7-8FT11-16

88.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists10

13Turnovers7

3Steals7

6Blocks3

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brock Wisne	F	33	8-11	1-1	0-0	8	1	1	2	17
Ring Nyeri	F	34	5-8	2-2	4-4	5	0	0	1	16
Quinn Denker	G	34	6-16	1-5	1-2	5	4	0	0	14
Ibu Yamazaki	F	29	4-11	1-6	0-0	4	0	0	1	9
Egan Shields	C	15	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	6
Vincent Delano	G	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	4
Zach Bloch	G	32	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Ariik Mawien	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Van De Griend	F	19	5-13	0-1	3-5	12	0	0	1	13
Evan Otten	F	21	5-8	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	1	11
Connor Hollenbeck	F	34	3-10	0-3	3-3	4	0	4	1	9
Jamison Guerra	PG	24	2-5	2-4	2-2	3	4	0	0	8
Martin Kheil	G	31	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Gus Etchison	PG	16	2-7	1-4	1-1	1	3	0	0	6
Lachlan Brewer	G	35	2-8	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Louis Bond	G	14	1-5	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Quin Patterson	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

106.6Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency106.6

12.4Net Efficiency-12.4

57.4%Effective FG%42.4%

59.7%True Shooting %45.8%

20.1%Turnover Rate10.8%

14.8%Free Throw Rate27.1%

31.5%3-Point Rate32.2%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.