San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

97.4%San Diego State

2.6%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -23.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -3746

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 84

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreAir Force 61

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricAir Force

60.1MMH Power Index23

110.3Offensive Efficiency91.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency118.5

11.0Net Efficiency-27.2

3.8Strength of Schedule6.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

70.8Tempo67.4

53.2%Effective FG%49.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate21.9%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.9%

7.8Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (110.3–91.3), defensive efficiency (99.3–118.5), net efficiency (11.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–3.8).

Final

San Diego State

88—54

Air Force

San Diego State by 34 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATAir Force

36-60FG19-48

60.0%FG%40.0%

6-173PT8-22

35.0%3PT%36.0%

10-14FT8-12

71.0%FT%67.0%

29Rebounds25

4Offensive Rebounds4

18Assists17

6Turnovers22

14Steals5

7Blocks1

12Fouls8

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Davis	G	25	7-8	2-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	16
Miles Heide	F	18	6-7	1-1	0-0	5	1	2	2	13
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	24	3-6	0-2	6-6	1	2	1	0	12
Jeremiah Oden	F	21	5-8	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	11
Pharaoh Compton	F	16	5-5	0-0	1-2	2	1	4	2	11
Taj DeGourville	G	25	3-8	1-3	1-2	4	5	2	0	8
Sean Newman Jr.	G	21	2-3	1-2	1-2	4	3	1	0	6
Tae Simmons	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	1	5
Miles Byrd	G	23	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	3	2	1	4
Cam Lawin	G	3	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Thokbor Majak	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Raymar Gonzales	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Sanders	G	27	3-8	2-4	3-4	5	4	1	0	11
Ethan Greenberg	G	24	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	11
Lucas Hobin	F	27	2-8	2-7	2-2	1	2	0	0	8
Eli Robinson	F	23	3-7	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	6
Wesley Celichowski	C	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	5	2	0	6
Justin Hinds	G	14	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Brendan Martin	F	10	2-4	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	4
Riley Dering	F	17	1-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Kolby Gilles	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	1
A.J. Patterson	G	16	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	1	0
Josh Gatete	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Sam Imade	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elliott Taite	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

125.4Offensive Efficiency76.9

76.9Defensive Efficiency125.4

48.4Net Efficiency-48.4

65.0%Effective FG%47.9%

66.0%True Shooting %50.3%

8.7%Turnover Rate30.7%

23.3%Free Throw Rate25.0%

28.3%3-Point Rate45.8%

3.00Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 34 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.