Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Abilene Christian

90.7%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -975

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 63

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 78

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricCalifornia Baptist

42.4MMH Power Index58.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

104.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-3.0Net Efficiency7.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.6Tempo68.2

48.9%Effective FG%48.8%

20.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-2.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–42.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–101.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.1), net efficiency (7.5–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.9–48.8), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

Abilene Christian

63—65

California Baptist

California Baptist by 2 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

21-59FG17-50

36.0%FG%34.0%

3-193PT7-14

16.0%3PT%50.0%

18-26FT24-34

69.0%FT%71.0%

42Rebounds41

14Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists8

12Turnovers12

5Steals3

—Blocks5

28Fouls23

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bradyn Hubbard	F	35	6-17	2-9	2-2	6	1	2	16
Cbo Newton	G	20	4-8	0-3	4-6	0	0	1	12
Cade Hornecker	F	15	4-10	0-1	3-4	7	1	1	11
Rich Smith	G	28	2-6	0-0	4-4	9	3	0	8
Christian Alston	G	17	2-5	0-0	2-2	8	0	1	6
Yaniel Rivera	G	29	2-6	1-4	0-2	1	2	0	5
Joseph Venzant	G	30	0-2	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	3
Zy Wright	G	15	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Tylan Lewis	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Joseph Scott	F	1	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	31	4-12	2-4	11-11	3	5	0	0	21
Martel Williams	G	35	2-11	2-2	6-8	2	0	2	1	12
Jayden Jackson	G	30	2-9	1-6	4-4	5	1	0	1	9
Miles Daniels	G	26	2-5	1-1	2-4	5	0	0	0	7
Thomas Ndong	F	16	3-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	2	6
Rene D'Amelio	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	4
Jordan Muller	G	19	1-1	1-1	0-2	3	1	0	1	3
Bradey Henige	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Devon Malcolm	F	16	0-3	0-0	1-4	4	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

92.9Offensive Efficiency95.9

95.9Defensive Efficiency92.9

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

38.1%Effective FG%41.0%

44.1%True Shooting %49.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.1%

44.1%Free Throw Rate68.0%

32.2%3-Point Rate28.0%

0.58Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.