Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Tarleton State

51.6%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Utah -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Utah -107

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 77

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 77

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricSouthern Utah

44.6MMH Power Index40.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency105.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.6Net Efficiency-4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

72.2Tempo72.3

49.0%Effective FG%52.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–40.6), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), net efficiency (1.6–-4.4), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–103.2), recent form (-3.3–-6.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.0).

Final

Tarleton State

62—59

Southern Utah

Tarleton State by 3 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATSouthern Utah

25-56FG22-61

45.0%FG%36.0%

4-113PT8-23

36.0%3PT%35.0%

8-12FT7-8

67.0%FT%88.0%

34Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists14

16Turnovers19

11Steals11

4Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andy Sigiscar	F	32	6-10	0-0	2-2	4	0	3	2	14
Cam McDowell	G	21	5-10	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	14
DJ Dormu	G	26	6-13	1-1	0-1	3	0	1	0	13
Kade Douglas	G	25	3-7	1-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Jordan Mizell	G	27	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	4
Ocypher Owens	F	20	1-5	0-1	2-3	5	0	2	1	4
Kaia Isaac	G	22	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Freddy Hicks	G	19	1-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	1	0	2
Matyas Vrabel	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Duval	G	35	6-17	3-7	3-4	4	7	2	0	18
Jaiden Feroah	F	31	7-12	1-3	0-0	9	2	1	1	15
Tanner Hayhurst	G	38	3-8	3-5	2-2	9	2	2	0	11
Isaiah Cottrell	F	30	2-9	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	2	4
Lorenzo Abellar	G	5	1-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Dylan Jones	G	33	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	2	0	3
Cale Barclay	F	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kai Burdick	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jalen Lee	G	9	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

90.1Offensive Efficiency85.8

85.8Defensive Efficiency90.1

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

48.2%Effective FG%42.6%

50.2%True Shooting %45.5%

23.3%Turnover Rate27.6%

21.4%Free Throw Rate13.1%

19.6%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.74

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.