UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.7%UC Irvine

43.3%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -131

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 75

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 74

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricUC Santa Barbara

58.4MMH Power Index51.4

106.9Offensive Efficiency113.2

95.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

11.9Net Efficiency7.1

-1.0Strength of Schedule-2.0

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

72.3Tempo68.5

50.7%Effective FG%54.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

36.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

8.6Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–106.1), net efficiency (11.9–7.1), strength of schedule (-1.0–-2.0).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–106.9), shooting efficiency (54.8–50.7), free throw rate (37.9–36.5).

Final

UC Irvine

79—84

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 5 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

31-62FG29-57

50.0%FG%51.0%

5-143PT7-23

36.0%3PT%30.0%

12-13FT19-25

92.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists11

11Turnovers14

7Steals7

2Blocks2

22Fouls12

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Henry	G	29	6-11	3-6	3-3	2	1	1	0	18
Kyle Evans	F	31	8-13	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	2	17
Jurian Dixon	G	31	6-14	0-2	3-4	7	1	2	0	15
Harrison Carrington	F	19	4-5	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	10
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	15	1-4	1-2	4-4	1	4	1	0	7
Derin Saran	G	28	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Tama Isaac	G	27	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	5	1	0	4
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Nes Emeneke	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ben Egbo	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	39	7-12	2-5	5-6	2	3	1	0	21
Colin Smith	F	33	6-11	2-5	3-5	7	1	0	0	17
CJ Shaw	G	35	3-6	1-2	8-8	0	2	2	0	15
Hosana Kitenge	F	21	6-10	0-1	0-1	6	3	2	1	12
Zion Sensley	G	31	4-10	1-5	1-2	13	0	1	0	10
Michael Simcoe	F	11	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Marvin McGhee IV	G	25	1-3	0-2	2-3	5	2	0	1	4
Evans Kipruto	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

111.1Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency111.1

-7.0Net Efficiency7.0

54.0%Effective FG%57.0%

57.9%True Shooting %61.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate20.0%

21.0%Free Throw Rate43.9%

22.6%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.