Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.0%Northern Arizona

88.0%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -13.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -733

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 71

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreWeber State 85

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricWeber State

36.9MMH Power Index50.2

107.1Offensive Efficiency113.6

114.8Defensive Efficiency108.2

-7.7Net Efficiency5.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.4

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

66.6Tempo71.5

53.5%Effective FG%52.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-5.1Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–36.9), offensive efficiency (113.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–114.8), net efficiency (5.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.4), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.6).

Final

Northern Arizona

53—72

Weber State

Weber State by 19 • 58.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATWeber State

18-49FG24-50

37.0%FG%48.0%

7-233PT6-17

30.0%3PT%35.0%

10-17FT18-26

59.0%FT%69.0%

27Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists12

9Turnovers9

3Steals4

2Blocks1

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Shaw	G	19	3-6	3-4	1-2	2	0	0	1	10
Karl Poom	F	20	3-5	0-0	2-7	5	2	0	0	8
Ryan Abelman	G	30	2-7	1-5	2-2	5	3	0	1	7
Brennan Peterson	G	29	2-8	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Kavon Bradford	G	11	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
Chris Komin	G	34	1-5	0-2	3-4	2	2	1	0	5
Diego Campisano	F	19	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Oakland Fort	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Erez Poran	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Traivar Jackson	F	20	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Arne Osojnik	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	33	5-14	2-7	8-8	4	5	2	0	20
Nigel Burris	F	25	5-8	1-3	2-2	4	1	0	0	13
Viljami Vartiainen	G	32	3-5	2-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	10
Malek Gomma	F	27	2-7	0-0	4-9	9	0	2	0	8
Duce Paschal	G	26	2-4	0-1	0-3	9	0	0	1	4
ArDarius Grayson	G	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Declan Cutler	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
David Hansen	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Brady Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

58.8Possessions58.8

90.1Offensive Efficiency122.4

122.4Defensive Efficiency90.1

-32.3Net Efficiency32.3

43.9%Effective FG%54.0%

46.4%True Shooting %57.7%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate52.0%

46.9%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Weber State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 58.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.