Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Boise State

72.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -266

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricNew Mexico

59.5MMH Power Index63.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.2

6.8Net Efficiency14.6

4.2Strength of Schedule2.0

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

68.6Tempo70.7

52.7%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.7Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (114.8–113.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–107.1), net efficiency (14.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–2.0), offensive rebounding (33.8–30.5), free throw rate (42.7–36.5).

Final

Boise State

91—90

New Mexico

Boise State by 1 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

25-54FG32-62

46.0%FG%52.0%

15-353PT11-24

43.0%3PT%46.0%

26-27FT15-21

96.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists19

11Turnovers5

3Steals5

4Blocks1

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Andrews	G	35	9-14	5-10	10-10	1	4	1	0	33
Drew Fielder	C	18	5-12	5-10	3-3	5	1	0	1	18
Pearson Carmichael	F	33	5-10	3-5	3-3	8	1	1	0	16
Javan Buchanan	F	34	3-8	0-2	7-7	6	2	0	1	13
Dominic Parolin	F	22	1-3	1-2	2-2	6	0	0	1	5
Aginaldo Neto	G	18	1-2	1-2	1-2	1	3	0	0	4
Andrew Meadow	F	25	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Spencer Ahrens	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Bhan Buom	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Haupt	G	32	11-17	3-4	5-7	6	4	1	0	30
Jake Hall	G	32	6-13	4-10	3-4	1	0	0	0	19
Uriah Tenette	G	29	4-7	2-3	4-4	5	5	2	0	14
Deyton Albury	G	24	3-6	1-1	2-4	4	2	1	0	9
Tomislav Buljan	F	30	3-7	0-0	1-2	9	2	0	1	7
JT Rock	C	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Antonio Chol	F	25	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Tajavis Miller	G	18	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	4	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

135.0Offensive Efficiency133.5

133.5Defensive Efficiency135.0

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

60.2%Effective FG%60.5%

68.1%True Shooting %62.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate7.6%

50.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

64.8%3-Point Rate38.7%

1.36Assist / Turnover3.80

Game Summary

Boise State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.