Tulsa

30-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Tulsa

72.2%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL165.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -260

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTulsa 79

Projected Total165.6

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 86

Team Comparison

TulsaMetricSouth Florida

64.8MMH Power Index68.8

121.1Offensive Efficiency117.3

104.8Defensive Efficiency101.6

16.3Net Efficiency15.7

0.0Strength of Schedule1.8

10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

70.2Tempo74.5

55.4%Effective FG%51.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

42.4%Free Throw Rate41.8%

11.5Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–64.8), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.8), strength of schedule (1.8–0.0), recent form (19.7–10.3).

Tulsa COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.1–117.3), net efficiency (16.3–15.7), shooting efficiency (55.4–51.0).

Final

Tulsa

74—80

South Florida

South Florida by 6 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TulsaTEAM STATSouth Florida

24-61FG25-60

39.0%FG%42.0%

15-383PT7-30

39.0%3PT%23.0%

11-18FT23-30

61.0%FT%77.0%

43Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists19

14Turnovers7

3Steals6

2Blocks5

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

Tulsa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ade Popoola	G	36	8-15	8-13	0-0	8	0	1	0	24
David Green	F	29	6-13	3-6	1-2	2	1	1	1	16
Miles Barnstable	G	29	5-12	3-10	0-0	6	1	0	0	13
Myles Rigsby	G	17	3-7	0-3	1-1	2	2	1	0	7
Tylen Riley	G	27	1-5	1-2	3-4	2	6	0	0	6
Jaylen Lawal	G	13	1-2	0-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Tyler Behrend	F	21	0-3	0-1	3-4	6	5	0	0	3
KJ Martin Jr.	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-1	0	1	0	0	0
Ian Smikle	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	0
Romad Dean	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izaiyah Nelson	F	32	9-15	1-4	6-8	10	1	0	1	25
Wes Enis	G	35	6-11	2-6	6-8	1	6	1	0	20
CJ Brown	G	35	3-12	1-3	7-8	2	8	0	0	14
Joseph Pinion	G	28	4-12	3-11	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Josh Omojafo	G	19	2-3	0-1	0-2	2	0	0	0	4
Isaiah Jones	F	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	6	0	2	0	2
Devin Haid	G	11	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	1	2	0	2
Tristan Beckford	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Daimion Collins	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	0
Adriel Nyorha	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Gavin Hightower	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency108.2

-8.8Net Efficiency8.8

51.6%Effective FG%47.5%

53.2%True Shooting %53.9%

20.7%Turnover Rate10.1%

29.5%Free Throw Rate50.0%

62.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

South Florida won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.