USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%USC

46.0%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -117

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 80

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScorePenn State 79

Team Comparison

USCMetricPenn State

48.3MMH Power Index42.3

108.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.6Defensive Efficiency117.6

0.9Net Efficiency-8.4

2.5Strength of Schedule5.3

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

72.4Tempo67.5

50.7%Effective FG%53.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

45.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

0.7Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–42.3), defensive efficiency (107.6–117.6), net efficiency (0.9–-8.4), recent form (-16.0–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–108.5), strength of schedule (5.3–2.5), shooting efficiency (53.4–50.7).

Final

USC

77—75

Penn State

USC by 2 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATPenn State

29-60FG30-58

48.0%FG%52.0%

6-193PT6-18

32.0%3PT%33.0%

13-18FT9-15

72.0%FT%60.0%

34Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists12

15Turnovers17

10Steals12

7Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alijah Arenas	G	35	8-17	3-6	5-6	3	2	2	2	24
Kam Woods	G	36	6-13	0-4	1-1	5	9	4	0	13
Ezra Ausar	F	28	4-6	0-0	5-6	2	1	2	0	13
Jacob Cofie	F	34	5-8	0-0	0-1	7	0	1	1	10
Jordan Marsh	G	22	3-8	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	0	9
Jerry Easter II	G	5	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Ryan Cornish	G	19	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Gabe Dynes	C	15	1-2	0-0	0-2	7	1	0	4	2
Terrance Williams II	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaden Brownell	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	38	10-18	1-3	2-4	4	4	3	0	23
Josh Reed	F	37	8-11	1-3	0-1	4	1	1	0	17
Ivan Juric	F	26	4-9	1-3	4-5	8	1	3	0	13
Dominick Stewart	G	34	4-5	2-3	1-2	3	2	2	0	11
Kayden Mingo	G	32	3-9	0-2	2-2	3	2	3	0	8
Justin Houser	F	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	3	3
Melih Tunca	G	16	0-2	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	0	0
Mason Blackwood	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

106.4Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency106.4

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

53.3%Effective FG%56.9%

56.2%True Shooting %57.6%

21.0%Turnover Rate23.2%

30.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

31.7%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

USC won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.