UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%UCF

73.1%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -272

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 72

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreCincinnati 79

Team Comparison

UCFMetricCincinnati

57.1MMH Power Index61.5

113.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

110.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

3.3Net Efficiency8.0

6.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.2Tempo69.4

53.0%Effective FG%50.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.4Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

UCF

72—92

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 20 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATCincinnati

27-66FG33-56

41.0%FG%59.0%

6-233PT11-18

26.0%3PT%61.0%

12-15FT15-21

80.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists18

8Turnovers11

5Steals3

2Blocks2

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Burks	F	32	4-11	1-3	7-9	0	1	1	0	16
Chris Johnson	G	25	6-13	2-6	2-2	3	6	0	1	16
Jamichael Stillwell	F	30	6-13	0-1	2-2	9	0	3	0	14
Riley Kugel	G	25	5-11	0-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	10
George Beale Jr.	G	9	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Devan Cambridge	F	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
John Bol	C	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jeremy Foumena	C	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Themus Fulks	G	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Carmelo Pacheco	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Elijah Hulsewe	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zach Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Baba Miller	F	33	5-7	1-2	6-8	10	5	0	0	17
Jizzle James	G	34	5-10	3-5	2-2	4	3	0	0	15
Moustapha Thiam	C	31	7-13	0-2	1-3	7	1	1	1	15
Jalen Celestine	G	31	5-6	3-3	1-1	3	2	1	0	14
Day Day Thomas	G	25	4-7	2-3	1-2	5	4	0	0	11
Sencire Harris	G	16	3-5	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Halvine Dzellat	C	9	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	6
Keyshuan Tillery	G	17	1-4	0-1	2-3	1	3	1	1	4
Jordi Rodriguez	G	4	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

102.7Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency102.7

-28.5Net Efficiency28.5

45.5%Effective FG%68.8%

49.2%True Shooting %69.7%

11.4%Turnover Rate15.7%

22.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%

34.8%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.