Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.4%Northwestern

81.6%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -443

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 66

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreIowa 77

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricIowa

55.4MMH Power Index64.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.8Defensive Efficiency105.2

1.8Net Efficiency13.2

5.6Strength of Schedule5.3

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

65.6Tempo63.0

51.9%Effective FG%56.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.2%

1.2Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.8), net efficiency (13.2–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.3), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Northwestern

70—76

Iowa

Iowa by 6 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATIowa

21-45FG24-53

47.0%FG%45.0%

8-143PT5-16

57.0%3PT%31.0%

20-22FT23-29

91.0%FT%79.0%

22Rebounds34

3Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists12

10Turnovers8

2Steals6

2Blocks—

25Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	37	6-19	3-5	6-7	4	0	0	1	21
Jake West	G	35	7-8	4-5	0-0	0	4	1	0	18
Tre Singleton	F	22	3-5	0-1	4-5	4	0	0	1	10
Jayden Reid	G	32	2-9	1-3	2-2	1	3	1	0	7
Angelo Ciaravino	G	28	1-2	0-0	4-4	5	1	0	0	6
Tyler Kropp	F	24	1-1	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	6
Arrinten Page	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Jordan Clayton	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Phoenix Gill	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	12-20	4-6	8-8	2	2	2	36
Tavion Banks	G	30	3-9	0-2	7-7	7	2	1	13
Cooper Koch	F	34	2-6	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	7
Kael Combs	G	29	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	6
Alvaro Folgueiras	F	25	1-5	0-3	4-8	5	3	1	6
Cam Manyawu	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-2	3	2	1	4
Tate Sage	G	13	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	4
Isaia Howard	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

112.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency112.5

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

55.6%Effective FG%50.0%

63.1%True Shooting %56.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate13.0%

48.9%Free Throw Rate54.7%

31.1%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Iowa won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.